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San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $175.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $133.6KEvent: San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
100.0¢
Nishesh Basavareddy
0.1¢
Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection19Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets2Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:48 trades$47.1K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 35%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 15 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Igor Ribeiro Marcondes · $59 net·4 wallets·$3.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLNishesh Basavareddy$13.0K@ 100¢·drrd

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes pressure: $9.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$9.0K
6h
+$2.4K
tracked
$47.1K

4 verified profitable wallets: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes · $59 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 15 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Igor Ribeiro Marcondes or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-04 20:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Nishesh Basavareddy and Igor Ribeiro Marcondes in the San Diego 2, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nishesh Basavareddy' if Nishesh Basavareddy advances against Igor Ribeiro Marcondes. This market will resolve to 'Igor Ribeiro Marcondes' if Igor Ribeiro Marcondes advances against Nishesh Basavareddy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Nishesh Basavareddy DOWN 3.0pp · near-book depth $18.2K → $6.1K · 24s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Nishesh Basavareddy; negative values favor Igor Ribeiro Marcondes. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hIgor Ribeiro Marcondes · $9.0K
6hNishesh Basavareddy · $2.4K
24hNishesh Basavareddy · $2.4K

Nishesh Basavareddy price VWAP

Volume-weighted Nishesh Basavareddy price. Igor Ribeiro Marcondes fills are converted to the complementary Nishesh Basavareddy probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h85.3¢▲ above by 14.6pp
VWAP 7d85.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Nishesh Basavareddy price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$14.5K
90¢
$589
85¢
$2.6K
80¢
$7.8K
75¢
$21.5K
70¢
$29
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLNishesh Basavareddy$13.0K@ 99.9¢
drrd0x8e88…b235
🐋—15 minutes ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.