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Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Crypto→Settlement: UpLiquidity: $6.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $201Event: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
100.0¢
Up payout
0.0¢
Down payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:122 trades$24.1K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 425 min agoofficial metadata 414 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLUp$10.8K@ 99¢·CryptoVagabond

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Up. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-26 14:35 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: Not supplied by the market

Resolution wording is unavailable. Treat this as missing decision evidence.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Up; negative values favor Down. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hUp · $1.6K
6hUp · $1.6K
24hUp · $1.6K

Up price VWAP

Volume-weighted Up price. Down fills are converted to the complementary Up probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h95.6¢▲ above by 4.4pp
VWAP 7d95.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Up price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$18.2K
90¢
$3.0K
85¢
$300
80¢
$1.6K
75¢
$0
70¢
$1.1K
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLUp$10.8K@ 99.0¢
CryptoVagabond0x6979…c2a3
🐋—about 7 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.