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Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Crypto→Settlement: DownLiquidity: $5.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $5.1KEvent: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
0.0¢
Up payout
100.0¢
Down payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:281 trades$31.2K trackedsource coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 494 min agoofficial metadata 483 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLDown$17.9K@ 100¢·CryptoVagabond

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Down. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-26 13:25 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: Not supplied by the market

Resolution wording is unavailable. Treat this as missing decision evidence.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Up; negative values favor Down. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hUp · $11.8K
6hUp · $11.8K
24hUp · $11.8K

Up price VWAP

Volume-weighted Up price. Down fills are converted to the complementary Up probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h16.0¢▼ below by 16.0pp
VWAP 7d16.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Up price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$351
65¢
$26
60¢
$684
55¢
$1.8K
50¢
$1.6K
45¢
$416
40¢
$1.8K
35¢
$1.7K
30¢
$1.8K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$1.0K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$19.9K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLDown$17.9K@ 99.9¢
CryptoVagabond0x6979…c2a3
🐋—about 8 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.