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Set Handicap: Andrey Rublev (-1.5) vs Rinky Hijikata (+1.5)

Sports→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $11.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $70.0KEvent: Hangzhou Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Andrey Rublev
51.0¢
Andrey Rublev payout
49.0¢
Rinky Hijikata. payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:5 trades$43.5K tracked40% 🐋source coverage 62%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 618 min agoofficial metadata 602 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAndrey Rublev$25.0K@ 53¢·ORI-

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-02 08:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Andrey Rublev" if Andrey Rublev wins by 2 or more sets than Rinky Hijikata, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Rinky Hijikata."

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Andrey Rublev can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Rinky Hijikata."

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Andrey Rublev and Rinky Hijikata in the Hangzhou Open, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Andrey Rublev" if Andrey Rublev wins by 2 or more sets than Rinky Hijikata, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Rinky Hijikata." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Andrey Rublev can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Rinky Hijikata." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 10h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 10h ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Rinky Hijikata. UP 6.0pp · near-book depth $0 → $180 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Andrey Rublev; negative values favor Rinky Hijikata.. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRinky Hijikata. · $18.5K
6hAndrey Rublev · $6.5K
24hAndrey Rublev · $6.5K

Andrey Rublev price VWAP

Volume-weighted Andrey Rublev price. Rinky Hijikata. fills are converted to the complementary Andrey Rublev probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current51.0¢
VWAP 24h72.9¢▼ below by 21.9pp
VWAP 7d72.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Andrey Rublev price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$18.5K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$29
50¢
← now
$25.0K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLAndrey Rublev$11.8K@ 99.9¢
ORI-0x3414…51a1
🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYAndrey Rublev$25.0K@ 53.0¢
ORI-0x3414…51a1
🐋—about 14 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ORI-Andrey Rublev$25.0K
BUY VWAP 53.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.