Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)

● quote 15s ago

Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $17.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $140.1KEvent: Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)

52.5¢

Ilias Bulaid

47.5¢

Erick Visconde

3.0¢

Spread

anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets66Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution62Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 60%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:65 trades$57.0K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 114 min agoofficial metadata 24s ago

Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Ilias Bulaid · $5.8K net·6 wallets·$8.8K gross

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYErick Visconde$17.5K@ 48¢·0x696a…e23a

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

+$10.3K

tracked

$57.0K

6 verified profitable wallets: Ilias Bulaid · $5.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?

3.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +3.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Observed tape is 114 minutes old.
•Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

OPEN

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-09-30 03:59 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events

Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Ilias Bulaid" if Ilias Bulaid is officially declared the winner of the fight against Erick Visconde at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 8, scheduled for September 29, 2026.

•It will resolve to "Erick Visconde" if Erick Visconde is officially declared the winner.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Ilias Bulaid" if Ilias Bulaid is officially declared the winner of the fight against Erick Visconde at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 8, scheduled for September 29, 2026. It will resolve to "Erick Visconde" if Erick Visconde is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 13, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

lucio882 linked markets · $26.9K gross

Do-Not-Redeem4 linked markets · $24.6K gross

0xe911…3d4e3 linked markets · $22.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Erick Visconde@ 46.0¢4h ago

15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Ilias Bulaid; negative values favor Erick Visconde. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1hIlias Bulaid · $0

6hIlias Bulaid · $10.3K

24hIlias Bulaid · $11.7K

Ilias Bulaid price VWAP

Volume-weighted Ilias Bulaid price. Erick Visconde fills are converted to the complementary Ilias Bulaid probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current52.5¢

VWAP 24h52.6¢▼ below by 0.1pp

VWAP 7d52.6¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Ilias Bulaid price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

90¢

85¢

80¢

75¢

70¢

65¢

60¢

55¢

$13.2K

50¢

← now

$43.8K

45¢

40¢

35¢

30¢

25¢

20¢

15¢

10¢

5¢

0¢

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…

Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago

Loading trades…

🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now

BUYErick Visconde$17.5K@ 48.4¢0x696a…e23a🐋—about 5 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Will Erick Visconde win by KO or TKO?

32.0¢$202.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Will Ilias Bulaid win by KO or TKO?

42.5¢$66.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Fight to Go the Distance?

33.0¢$64.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees

12.5¢$759.2Kpriority52Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?

0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

0.1¢$435.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?

4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres

43.5¢$332.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x696a…e23aErick Visconde$17.5K

BUY VWAP 48.4¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.