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Maple Leafs vs. Blue Jackets

Sports→HockeySettlement: Maple LeafsLiquidity: $147.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.1KEvent: Maple Leafs vs. Blue Jackets
100.0¢
Maple Leafs payout
0.0¢
Blue Jackets payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBlue Jackets$14.4K@ 60¢·taylorsversion

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Maple Leafs. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-20 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nhl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•If the Maple Leafs win, the market will resolve to "Maple Leafs".

•If the Blue Jackets win, the market will resolve to "Blue Jackets".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 20 at 7:00PM ET: If the Maple Leafs win, the market will resolve to "Maple Leafs". If the Blue Jackets win, the market will resolve to "Blue Jackets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 21d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 21d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Blue Jackets@ 61.0¢21d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Maple Leafs; negative values favor Blue Jackets. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMaple Leafs · $26
6hBlue Jackets · $18.2K
24hBlue Jackets · $22.7K

Maple Leafs price VWAP

Volume-weighted Maple Leafs price. Blue Jackets fills are converted to the complementary Maple Leafs probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h46.81¢▲ above by 53.2pp
VWAP 7d46.42¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Maple Leafs price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$2.6K
90¢
$90
85¢
$44
80¢
$0
75¢
$2.8K
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$2
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$36.0K
35¢
$9
30¢
$0
25¢
$18
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYBlue Jackets$14.4K@ 60.0¢
taylorsversion0xb9c7…aade
🐋—21 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.