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Spread: Ravens (-3.5)

Sports→Settlement: RavensLiquidity: $124.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $68.0KEvent: Titans vs. Ravens
100.0¢
Ravens payout
0.0¢
Titans payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Ravens · $938 net·2 wallets·$6.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYRavens$18.8K@ 75¢·one8tyfive

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Ravens. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-04 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Ravens" if the Ravens win the game by 4 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Titans".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL football game between Titans and Ravens, scheduled for October 4 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Ravens" if the Ravens win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Titans". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
mooseborzoii4 linked markets · $52.0K gross
Herdonia3 linked markets · $35.9K gross
primm2 linked markets · $27.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Ravens@ 75.0¢2d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Ravens; negative values favor Titans. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRavens · $0
6hTitans · $971
24hRavens · $34.1K

Ravens price VWAP

Volume-weighted Ravens price. Titans fills are converted to the complementary Ravens probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h74.8¢▲ above by 25.2pp
VWAP 7d74.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Ravens price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$43.3K
70¢
$4.6K
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYRavens$18.8K@ 75.0¢
one8tyfive0xcf6c…7e66
🐋—2 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

one8tyfiveRavens$24.0K
BUY VWAP 75.0¢·2 fills
quavooRavens$11.1K
BUY VWAP 75.0¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.