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Spread: Broncos (-3.5)

Sports→American FootballSettlement: BroncosLiquidity: $378.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $256.2KEvent: Broncos vs. Chargers
100.0¢
Broncos payout
0.0¢
Chargers payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYChargers$31.8K@ 51¢·maz26

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Broncos. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-11 20:05 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Broncos" if the Broncos win the game by 4 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Chargers".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL football game between Broncos and Chargers, scheduled for October 11 at 4:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Broncos" if the Broncos win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Chargers". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Chargers11d ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Chargers@ 52.0¢11d ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h INVALIDATED -9.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Chargers@ 51.0¢11d ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h INVALIDATED -15.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Chargers@ 51.0¢13d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -3.0pp6h INVALIDATED -3.0pp24h INVALIDATED -3.0pp

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Broncos; negative values favor Chargers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hChargers · $732
6hChargers · $58.7K
24hChargers · $87.3K

Broncos price VWAP

Volume-weighted Broncos price. Chargers fills are converted to the complementary Broncos probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h47.0¢▲ above by 53.0pp
VWAP 7d47.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Broncos price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$56
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$38
75¢
$3
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$7.7K
55¢
$36
50¢
$35.4K
45¢
$105.9K
40¢
$15
35¢
$54
30¢
$790
25¢
$293
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$4.8K
5¢
$3.8K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYChargers$18.5K@ 51.0¢
mooseborzoii0x1f3a…895d
🐋—11 days ago
BUYChargers$31.8K@ 51.0¢
maz260x6754…e3bc
🐋—11 days ago
BUYBroncos$11.4K@ 49.0¢0xb4f9…c9a7🐋—13 days ago
BUYChargers$25.6K@ 52.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—13 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.