PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Minnesota vs. Washington

Sports→Settlement: MinnesotaLiquidity: $680.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.2MEvent: Minnesota vs. Washington
100.0¢
Minnesota payout
0.0¢
Washington payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:259 trades$567.9K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 47%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 935 min agoofficial metadata 918 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Minnesota · $40.5K net·15 wallets(1🐋)·$71.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYWashington$120.0K@ 81¢·Sassy-Bucket

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Minnesota. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-27 03:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Minnesota" if Minnesota win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Washington" if Washington win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Minnesota and Washington, scheduled for September 26 at 11:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Minnesota" if Minnesota win the game. This market will resolve to "Washington" if Washington win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard3 linked markets · $39.3K gross
Greedo3 linked markets · $15.7K gross
quavoo3 linked markets · $15.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Minnesota@ 58.0¢19h ago
15m INVALIDATED -11.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Washington DOWN 7.0pp · near-book depth $642 → $48 · 5s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Minnesota; negative values favor Washington. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMinnesota · $7.7K
6hMinnesota · $144.3K
24hMinnesota · $139.0K

Minnesota price VWAP

Volume-weighted Minnesota price. Washington fills are converted to the complementary Minnesota probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h44.6¢▲ above by 55.4pp
VWAP 7d44.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Minnesota price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$17.1K
90¢
$9.0K
85¢
$22.6K
80¢
$3.0K
75¢
$1.4K
70¢
$4.9K
65¢
$3.7K
60¢
$10.9K
55¢
$85.2K
50¢
$26.4K
45¢
$188.0K
40¢
$2.0K
35¢
$2.4K
30¢
$4.0K
25¢
$0
20¢
$41.4K
15¢
$146.1K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMinnesota$16.6K@ 88.9¢0x20f4…15e1🐋—about 17 hours ago
BUYMinnesota$48.3K@ 48.0¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—about 18 hours ago
BUYMinnesota$54.0K@ 48.0¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—about 18 hours ago
BUYMinnesota$19.6K@ 48.0¢
iDARKenjoyer0xf68a…5b1b
🐋—about 18 hours ago
BUYMinnesota$19.6K@ 48.0¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—about 18 hours ago
BUYMinnesota$20.0K@ 57.0¢
takeormake0xa38a…821d
🐋—about 19 hours ago
BUYMinnesota$26.4K@ 50.0¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—about 19 hours ago
BUYMinnesota$12.1K@ 48.0¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—about 19 hours ago
BUYMinnesota$11.3K@ 48.0¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—about 19 hours ago
BUYWashington$120.0K@ 81.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—about 19 hours ago
BUYWashington$24.3K@ 81.0¢0xe987…f0e1🐋—about 19 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Rams vs. Broncos
50.5¢$962.8Kpriority82Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Rams (-1.5)
46.5¢$874.4Kpriority85Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Rams (-2.5)
44.5¢$754.4Kpriority64Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
17.5¢$638.3Kpriority52Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner
0.1¢$519.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$446.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$427.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ethanazMinnesota$171.7K
BUY VWAP 48.3¢·6 fills
Sassy-BucketWashington$125.7K
BUY VWAP 81.0¢·2 fills
iDARKenjoyerMinnesota$24.7K
BUY VWAP 49.3¢·3 fills
0xe987…f0e1Washington$24.3K
BUY VWAP 81.0¢·1 fill
takeormakeMinnesota$23.0K
BUY VWAP 57.7¢·4 fills
0x20f4…15e1Minnesota$20.1K
BUY VWAP 88.7¢·2 fills
sifonmanMinnesota$17.3K
BUY VWAP 59.0¢·3 fills
HomeRunHazardWashington$13.3K
BUY VWAP 59.2¢·7 fills
HomeRunHazardMinnesota$13.1K
BUY VWAP 44.7¢·8 fills
ic4creamMinnesota$12.6K
BUY VWAP 20.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.