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Tulsa vs. Arkansas

Sports→Settlement: ArkansasLiquidity: $231.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $298.5KEvent: Tulsa vs. Arkansas
0.0¢
Tulsa payout
100.0¢
Arkansas payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:40 trades$161.6K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 55%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1175 min agoofficial metadata 1119 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Tulsa · $3.2K net·2 wallets·$3.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYArkansas$132.0K@ 72¢·Sassy-Bucket

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Arkansas. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-27 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Tulsa" if Tulsa win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Arkansas" if Arkansas win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Tulsa and Arkansas, scheduled for September 26 at 8:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tulsa" if Tulsa win the game. This market will resolve to "Arkansas" if Arkansas win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
quavoo2 linked markets · $20.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY Arkansas@ 72.0¢22h ago
15m CONFIRMED +3.0pp1h CONFIRMED +16.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Arkansas@ 72.0¢22h ago
15m CONFIRMED +3.0pp1h CONFIRMED +16.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Arkansas UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $366 → $43.2K · 36s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Tulsa; negative values favor Arkansas. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hArkansas · $28
6hArkansas · $126.5K
24hArkansas · $126.5K

Tulsa price VWAP

Volume-weighted Tulsa price. Arkansas fills are converted to the complementary Tulsa probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h28.1¢▼ below by 28.1pp
VWAP 7d28.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Tulsa price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$163
25¢
$164.1K
20¢
$8
15¢
$42
10¢
$8
5¢
$305
0¢
← now
$131

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYArkansas$10.0K@ 72.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—about 23 hours ago
BUYArkansas$132.0K@ 72.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—about 23 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Sassy-BucketArkansas$145.1K
BUY VWAP 72.0¢·3 fills
quavooTulsa$11.8K
BUY VWAP 29.0¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.