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TCU vs. UCF

Sports→Settlement: UCFLiquidity: $256.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $565.4KEvent: TCU vs. UCF
0.0¢
TCU payout
100.0¢
UCF payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:7 trades$145 trackedsource coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1426 min agoofficial metadata 1394 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:UCF · $33.8K net·8 wallets(1🐋)·$75.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTCU$60.9K@ 62¢·Sassy-Bucket

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome UCF. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-26 19:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "TCU" if TCU win the game.

•This market will resolve to "UCF" if UCF win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between TCU and UCF, scheduled for September 26 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "TCU" if TCU win the game. This market will resolve to "UCF" if UCF win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard3 linked markets · $50.9K gross
primm2 linked markets · $50.7K gross
VeryLucky8883 linked markets · $4.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

POSITION CHANGEBUY TCU@ 63.0¢1d ago
15m INVALIDATED -6.0pp1h STALLED +1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY TCU@ 63.0¢1d ago
15m INVALIDATED -5.0pp1h INVALIDATED -7.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY TCU@ 61.0¢1d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor TCU; negative values favor UCF. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hUCF · $5.5K
6hTCU · $33.2K
24hTCU · $80.5K

TCU price VWAP

Volume-weighted TCU price. UCF fills are converted to the complementary TCU probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h55.3¢▼ below by 55.3pp
VWAP 7d55.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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TCU price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$5.9K
60¢
$169.1K
55¢
$5.2K
50¢
$5.0K
45¢
$15.8K
40¢
$27.0K
35¢
$3.2K
30¢
$2.6K
25¢
$0
20¢
$6.1K
15¢
$4.2K
10¢
$1
5¢
$178
0¢
← now
$1.3K

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTCU$13.0K@ 41.4¢
bigbankmoney0x3f76…436a
🐋—1 day ago
BUYUCF$13.3K@ 38.0¢
ic4cream0x27f7…44b0
🐋—1 day ago
BUYTCU$60.9K@ 62.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—1 day ago
BUYTCU$12.5K@ 60.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—1 day ago
BUYTCU$42.6K@ 60.0¢
primm0xd38b…5029
🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Sassy-BucketTCU$73.4K
BUY VWAP 61.7¢·2 fills
primmTCU$42.6K
BUY VWAP 60.0¢·1 fill
HomeRunHazardUCF$20.0K
BUY VWAP 50.3¢·10 fills
maz26UCF$17.2K
BUY VWAP 38.0¢·2 fills
HomeRunHazardTCU$17.2K
BUY VWAP 48.9¢·9 fills
ic4creamUCF$13.3K
BUY VWAP 38.0¢·1 fill
bigbankmoneyTCU$13.0K
BUY VWAP 41.4¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.