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Northern Illinois vs. Georgia State

Sports→Settlement: Georgia StateLiquidity: $197.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $138.5KEvent: Northern Illinois vs. Georgia State
0.0¢
Northern Illinois payout
100.0¢
Georgia State payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Georgia State · $10.3K net·3 wallets(1🐋)·$10.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNorthern Illinois$18.4K@ 25¢·Sassy-Bucket

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Georgia State. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-26 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Northern Illinois" if Northern Illinois win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Georgia State" if Georgia State win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Northern Illinois and Georgia State, scheduled for September 26 at 2:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Northern Illinois" if Northern Illinois win the game. This market will resolve to "Georgia State" if Georgia State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Northern Illinois@ 25.0¢1d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +6.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Northern Illinois; negative values favor Georgia State. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNorthern Illinois · $0
6hNorthern Illinois · $11.1K
24hNorthern Illinois · $11.1K

Northern Illinois price VWAP

Volume-weighted Northern Illinois price. Georgia State fills are converted to the complementary Northern Illinois probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h24.3¢▼ below by 24.3pp
VWAP 7d24.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Northern Illinois price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$3
30¢
$7
25¢
$26.0K
20¢
$13.6K
15¢
$0
10¢
$45
5¢
$7
0¢
← now
$10

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYNorthern Illinois$18.4K@ 25.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—1 day ago
BUYGeorgia State$10.2K@ 77.0¢
HomeRunHazard0x5268…135d
🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Sassy-BucketNorthern Illinois$24.4K
BUY VWAP 24.8¢·3 fills
HomeRunHazardGeorgia State$10.2K
BUY VWAP 77.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.