San Diego State vs. Toledo

Sports→Settlement: ToledoLiquidity: $375.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $690.4KEvent: San Diego State vs. Toledo
0.0¢
San Diego State payout
100.0¢
Toledo payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Toledo · $171.0K net·7 wallets(1🐋)·$173.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYToledo$130.1K@ 56¢·Kch-Temp

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Toledo. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-26 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "San Diego State" if San Diego State win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Toledo" if Toledo win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between San Diego State and Toledo, scheduled for September 26 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego State" if San Diego State win the game. This market will resolve to "Toledo" if Toledo win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
RN12 linked markets · $6.5K gross
mooseborzoi2 linked markets · $5.4K gross
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $4.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Toledo1d ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Toledo@ 57.0¢1d ago
15m INVALIDATED -6.0pp1h CONFIRMED +17.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
POSITION CHANGEBUY San Diego State@ 46.0¢1d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -16.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ACCUMULATIONBUY San Diego State@ 45.0¢1d ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h INVALIDATED -15.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Lifecycleresolved

Signed Order Flow

1hToledo · $1.7K
6hToledo · $39.0K
24hToledo · $41.2K

San Diego State price VWAP

Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h44.1¢▼ below by 44.1pp
VWAP 7d44.1¢
Largest observed holders

Largest holders

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San Diego State price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$9.9K
45¢
$130.1K
40¢
$182.1K
35¢
$19
30¢
$4.1K
25¢
$8
20¢
$1.1K
15¢
$0
10¢
$1
5¢
$287
0¢
← now
$1.7K

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYToledo$16.8K@ 56.0¢
Kch-Temp0x9243…658e
🐋—1 day ago
BUYToledo$16.7K@ 56.0¢
Kch-Temp0x9243…658e
🐋—1 day ago
BUYToledo$130.1K@ 56.0¢
Kch-Temp0x9243…658e
🐋—1 day ago
BUYSan Diego State$19.6K@ 45.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—1 day ago
BUYSan Diego State$19.0K@ 45.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Kch-TempToledo$163.6K
BUY VWAP 56.0¢·3 fills
Sassy-BucketSan Diego State$133.0K
BUY VWAP 45.0¢·17 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.