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Army vs. Temple: O/U 48.5

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $30.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $137.5KEvent: Army vs. Temple
26.0¢
Over
74.0¢
Under
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets5Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution73Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:28 trades$58.3K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 13 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Under · $410 net·2 wallets·$5.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYUnder$16.6K@ 52¢·0xa904…d20c

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$3
6h
−$43.8K
tracked
$58.3K

2 verified profitable wallets: Under · $410 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +22.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 13 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 22.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-25 20:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Over" if Army and Temple combine to score 49 or more points in this game.

•If the combined total is less than 49, this market will resolve to "Under".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 25 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Army and Temple combine to score 49 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 49, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ethanaz3 linked markets · $100.0K gross
HomeRunHazard5 linked markets · $70.7K gross
RN14 linked markets · $43.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Under2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Under@ 53.0¢3h ago
15m CONFIRMED +7.0pp1h CONFIRMED +4.0pp
Latest book event: Under DOWN 11.0pp · near-book depth $7 → $6.4K · 87s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Over; negative values favor Under. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hUnder · $3
6hUnder · $43.8K
24hUnder · $43.8K

Over price VWAP

Volume-weighted Over price. Under fills are converted to the complementary Over probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current26.0¢
VWAP 24h47.6¢▼ below by 21.6pp
VWAP 7d47.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Over price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$4
50¢
$6.8K
45¢
$48.5K
40¢
$0
35¢
$1
30¢
$3.1K
25¢
← now
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$4
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYUnder$16.6K@ 51.9¢0xa904…d20c🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xa904…d20cUnder$31.6K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·3 fills
quavooUnder$10.8K
BUY VWAP 52.3¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.