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Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals

Sports→Settlement: Kansas City RoyalsLiquidity: $68.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $196.2KEvent: Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals
0.0¢
Cleveland Guardians payout
100.0¢
Kansas City Royals payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:37 trades$60.5K trackedsource coverage 31%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 54 min agoofficial metadata 29 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Kansas City Royals · $4.7K net·6 wallets·$45.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKansas City Royals$7.0K@ 61¢·dabossrealman

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Kansas City Royals. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-04 19:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for September 27 at 3:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Kansas City Royals DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $8 → $258 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Cleveland Guardians; negative values favor Kansas City Royals. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCleveland Guardians · $5.0K
6hCleveland Guardians · $4.3K
24hKansas City Royals · $409

Cleveland Guardians price VWAP

Volume-weighted Cleveland Guardians price. Kansas City Royals fills are converted to the complementary Cleveland Guardians probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h37.0¢▼ below by 37.0pp
VWAP 7d37.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Cleveland Guardians price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$1.6K
55¢
$2.7K
50¢
$6.7K
45¢
$10.2K
40¢
$5.9K
35¢
$12.8K
30¢
$2.6K
25¢
$5.5K
20¢
$0
15¢
$9.6K
10¢
$2.1K
5¢
$181
0¢
← now
$627

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

dabossrealmanKansas City Royals$12.9K
BUY VWAP 58.1¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.