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Hangzhou Open: Valentin Royer vs Adam Walton

Sports→Closes: 4 daysLiquidity: $179.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $334.0KEvent: Hangzhou Open: Valentin Royer vs Adam Walton
99.9¢
Valentin Royer
2.9¢
Adam Walton
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Valentin Royer · $3.9K net·8 wallets·$4.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAdam Walton$13.3K@ 52¢·ORI-

Decision read paused

Market status is CLOSED. No executable setup is shown until trading is open again.

CLOSED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
CLOSED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-30 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Valentin Royer and Adam Walton in the Hangzhou Open, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Royer' if Valentin Royer advances against Adam Walton. This market will resolve to 'Adam Walton' if Adam Walton advances against Valentin Royer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 2d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 2d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Adam Walton@ 53.0¢2d ago
15m INVALIDATED -31.0pp1h INVALIDATED -48.8pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market closed · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Valentin Royer; negative values favor Adam Walton. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAdam Walton · $3.5K
6hAdam Walton · $28.3K
24hAdam Walton · $31.3K

Valentin Royer price VWAP

Volume-weighted Valentin Royer price. Adam Walton fills are converted to the complementary Valentin Royer probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h67.8¢▲ above by 32.1pp
VWAP 7d67.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Valentin Royer price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$18.8K
90¢
$385
85¢
$16.1K
80¢
$59
75¢
$2.8K
70¢
$1.3K
65¢
$5.8K
60¢
$0
55¢
$845
50¢
$4.3K
45¢
$44.4K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAdam Walton$10.0K@ 13.8¢
Marcoli0xdbbb…05a8
🐋—2 days ago
BUYAdam Walton$10.0K@ 54.1¢
Antblack0x9c68…247a
🐋—2 days ago
BUYAdam Walton$13.3K@ 52.3¢
ORI-0x3414…51a1
🐋—2 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

AntblackAdam Walton$15.0K
BUY VWAP 52.8¢·2 fills
ORI-Adam Walton$13.3K
BUY VWAP 52.3¢·1 fill
MarcoliAdam Walton$10.0K
BUY VWAP 13.8¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.