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UFC 332: Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)

Sports→Settlement: Ismail NaurdievLiquidity: $271.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $300.8KEvent: UFC 332: Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)
0.0¢
Marvin Vettori payout
100.0¢
Ismail Naurdiev payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:112 trades$97.3K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 32%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 48 min agoofficial metadata 35 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Ismail Naurdiev · $25.8K net·19 wallets(2🐋)·$52.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYIsmail Naurdiev$33.7K@ 56¢·rabbitfoot1

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Ismail Naurdiev. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-04 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Marvin Vettori" if Marvin Vettori is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ismail Naurdiev at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026.

•It will resolve to "Ismail Naurdiev" if Ismail Naurdiev is officially declared the winner.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Marvin Vettori" if Marvin Vettori is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ismail Naurdiev at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026. It will resolve to "Ismail Naurdiev" if Ismail Naurdiev is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Ismail Naurdiev@ 56.0¢1d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp24h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Marvin Vettori@ 45.0¢1d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp24h STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: Ismail Naurdiev UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $309 → $2.1K · 2s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Marvin Vettori; negative values favor Ismail Naurdiev. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hIsmail Naurdiev · $15.4K
6hIsmail Naurdiev · $1.2K
24hIsmail Naurdiev · $1.1K

Marvin Vettori price VWAP

Volume-weighted Marvin Vettori price. Ismail Naurdiev fills are converted to the complementary Marvin Vettori probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h34.2¢▼ below by 34.2pp
VWAP 7d38.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Marvin Vettori price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$983
50¢
$1.1K
45¢
$60.8K
40¢
$35.0K
35¢
$1.7K
30¢
$25.3K
25¢
$19.9K
20¢
$2.9K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$9.1K

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYIsmail Naurdiev$16.4K@ 70.3¢
redfox6660x4abd…5a5c
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYIsmail Naurdiev$19.2K@ 66.7¢
hellonewday0xd32e…b577
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYIsmail Naurdiev$33.7K@ 56.0¢
rabbitfoot10x10a6…4d8b
🐋—1 day ago
BUYMarvin Vettori$18.9K@ 45.0¢
Roulette10x05a7…42e6
🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

rabbitfoot1Ismail Naurdiev$33.7K
BUY VWAP 56.0¢·1 fill
hellonewdayIsmail Naurdiev$19.2K
BUY VWAP 66.7¢·1 fill
Roulette1Marvin Vettori$18.9K
BUY VWAP 45.0¢·1 fill
redfox666Ismail Naurdiev$16.4K
BUY VWAP 70.3¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.