PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner

Sports→Settlement: VitalityLiquidity: $175.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $405.1KEvent: Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
0.0¢
Aurora Gaming payout
100.0¢
Vitality payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYVitality$18.2K@ 68¢·fkcvffcjt

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Vitality. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-19 21:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 2 against Vitality.

•This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win Map 2 against Aurora Gaming.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Final match between Aurora Gaming and Vitality in the StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 2 against Vitality. This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win Map 2 against Aurora Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Vitality14d ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Vitality@ 40.0¢14d ago
15m CONFIRMED +6.0pp1h CONFIRMED +46.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Aurora Gaming; negative values favor Vitality. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAurora Gaming · $3.9K
6hAurora Gaming · $15.8K
24hAurora Gaming · $14.2K

Aurora Gaming price VWAP

Volume-weighted Aurora Gaming price. Vitality fills are converted to the complementary Aurora Gaming probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h32.0¢▼ below by 32.0pp
VWAP 7d32.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Aurora Gaming price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$1.1K
55¢
$12.5K
50¢
$22.4K
45¢
$9.2K
40¢
$5.5K
35¢
$3.6K
30¢
$39.2K
25¢
$13.0K
20¢
$0
15¢
$4.3K
10¢
$1.8K
5¢
$2.5K
0¢
← now
$26.0K

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYVitality$18.2K@ 68.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—14 days ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
0.1¢$1.7Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$928.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
18.0¢$923.5Kpriority50Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner
0.1¢$630.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Packers vs. Buccaneers
60.5¢$494.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$473.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Colts vs. Commanders
66.5¢$446.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$425.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.