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Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)

Sports→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $460.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $668.3KEvent: LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
53.5¢
Karmine Corp payout
46.5¢
Movistar KOI payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Movistar KOI · $42.6K net·6 wallets(2🐋)·$162.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMovistar KOI$98.4K@ 47¢·0x076d…8d4c

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-19 21:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp wins 2 or more games than Movistar KOI in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Movistar KOI".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between Karmine Corp and Movistar KOI in the LEC Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp wins 2 or more games than Movistar KOI in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Movistar KOI". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 1d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 1d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
trgparking2 linked markets · $263.4K gross
fantasy77884 linked markets · $213.6K gross
0x076d…8d4c4 linked markets · $166.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Movistar KOI1d ago
Outcome checks pending
WHALE FOLLOW THROUGHBUY Movistar KOI@ 46.0¢1d ago
15m INVALIDATED -5.0pp1h CONFIRMED +25.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Movistar KOI@ 47.0¢1d ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h CONFIRMED +6.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Karmine Corp@ 54.0¢1d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Karmine Corp; negative values favor Movistar KOI. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMovistar KOI · $10
6hMovistar KOI · $90.8K
24hMovistar KOI · $96.5K

Karmine Corp price VWAP

Volume-weighted Karmine Corp price. Movistar KOI fills are converted to the complementary Karmine Corp probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current53.5¢
VWAP 24h43.0¢▲ above by 10.5pp
VWAP 7d43.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Karmine Corp price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$20
60¢
$0
55¢
$3.3K
50¢
← now
$262.5K
45¢
$11
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$701
5¢
$13.9K
0¢
$53.3K

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMovistar KOI$13.9K@ 92.9¢0x3b63…4acd🐋—1 day ago
BUYMovistar KOI$20.0K@ 49.3¢
fantasy77880x0259…769e
🐋—1 day ago
BUYMovistar KOI$98.4K@ 47.0¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—1 day ago
BUYKarmine Corp$60.0K@ 54.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—1 day ago
BUYKarmine Corp$12.0K@ 54.0¢
ks788ds0x388e…3360
🐋—1 day ago
BUYKarmine Corp$14.7K@ 53.0¢0x3af1…d739🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x076d…8d4cMovistar KOI$101.1K
BUY VWAP 47.0¢·2 fills
BrotherObamaKarmine Corp$60.0K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·1 fill
RoshanMVPMovistar KOI$45.9K
BUY VWAP 98.6¢·10 fills
0x3af1…d739Karmine Corp$22.0K
BUY VWAP 53.3¢·2 fills
fantasy7788Movistar KOI$20.0K
BUY VWAP 49.3¢·1 fill
ks788dsKarmine Corp$17.2K
BUY VWAP 53.8¢·3 fills
0x3b63…4acdMovistar KOI$15.8K
BUY VWAP 93.4¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.