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Spread: Georgia (-24.5)

Sports→Settlement: GeorgiaLiquidity: $497Official 24h Vol: $194.5KEvent: Georgia vs. Arkansas
100.0¢
Georgia payout
0.0¢
Arkansas payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYGeorgia$30.0K@ 52¢·primm

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Georgia. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-19 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Georgia" if Georgia win the game by 25 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Arkansas".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 19 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Georgia" if Georgia win the game by 25 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Arkansas". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $5.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Georgia@ 51.0¢4d ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Georgia; negative values favor Arkansas. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hGeorgia · $85
6hArkansas · $33.0K
24hArkansas · $6.0K

Georgia price VWAP

Volume-weighted Georgia price. Arkansas fills are converted to the complementary Georgia probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h51.4¢▲ above by 48.6pp
VWAP 7d51.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Georgia price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$85
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$1.6K
55¢
$0
50¢
$87.8K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYArkansas$14.6K@ 50.0¢
Feromont0xabb8…bba3
🐋—4 days ago
BUYGeorgia$30.0K@ 52.0¢
primm0xd38b…5029
🐋—4 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

primmGeorgia$30.0K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·1 fill
FeromontArkansas$28.6K
BUY VWAP 49.5¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.