PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Sabres vs. Maple Leafs

● quote just now
Sports→HockeyCloses: about 1 hourLiquidity: $465.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $83.7KEvent: Sabres vs. Maple Leafs
47.5¢
Sabres
52.5¢
Maple Leafs
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly1Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 77%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:30 trades$38.8K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 46%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 8 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Maple Leafs · $20.1K net·3 wallets(1🐋)·$20.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMaple Leafs$13.0K@ 53¢·ferrariChampions2026

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$11
6h
−$23.6K
tracked
$38.8K

3 verified profitable wallets: Maple Leafs · $20.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 77% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-15 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nhl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•If the Sabres win, the market will resolve to "Sabres".

•If the Maple Leafs win, the market will resolve to "Maple Leafs".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 15 at 7:00PM ET: If the Sabres win, the market will resolve to "Sabres". If the Maple Leafs win, the market will resolve to "Maple Leafs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
iWasEnough2 linked markets · $36 gross
BoomLaLa6 linked markets · $19 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Sabres; negative values favor Maple Leafs. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMaple Leafs · $11
6hMaple Leafs · $23.6K
24hMaple Leafs · $20.3K

Sabres price VWAP

Volume-weighted Sabres price. Maple Leafs fills are converted to the complementary Sabres probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current47.5¢
VWAP 24h48.3¢▼ below by 0.8pp
VWAP 7d48.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Sabres price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$12.2K
45¢
← now
$31.9K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMaple Leafs$13.0K@ 53.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Sabres vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5
54.5¢$15.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Sabres vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 4.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Sabres vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Sabres vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 7.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$2.1Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group B
0.1¢$1.7Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In
39.5¢$1.6Mpriority46Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ferrariChampions2026Maple Leafs$20.1K
BUY VWAP 52.6¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.