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Phan Thiet 4: Matthew Dellavedova vs Enzo Aguiard

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $86.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $145.9KEvent: Phan Thiet 4: Matthew Dellavedova vs Enzo Aguiard
99.5¢
Matthew Dellavedova
0.5¢
Enzo Aguiard
0.3¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection27Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets96Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution86Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:53 trades$66.6K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 46%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 9 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Matthew Dellavedova · $2.6K net·4 wallets·$2.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMatthew Dellavedova$15.5K@ 58¢·Runemup

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Matthew Dellavedova pressure: $17.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$17.9K
6h
+$32.8K
tracked
$66.6K

4 verified profitable wallets: Matthew Dellavedova · $2.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.3¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +41.6pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 41.6pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Matthew Dellavedova or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-23 06:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Matthew Dellavedova and Enzo Aguiard in the Phan Thiet 4, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matthew Dellavedova' if Matthew Dellavedova advances against Enzo Aguiard. This market will resolve to 'Enzo Aguiard' if Enzo Aguiard advances against Matthew Dellavedova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Matthew Dellavedova@ 58.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: Matthew Dellavedova UP 8.0pp · near-book depth $26.1K → $26.5K · 46s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Matthew Dellavedova; negative values favor Enzo Aguiard. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMatthew Dellavedova · $17.9K
6hMatthew Dellavedova · $32.8K
24hMatthew Dellavedova · $29.8K

Matthew Dellavedova price VWAP

Volume-weighted Matthew Dellavedova price. Enzo Aguiard fills are converted to the complementary Matthew Dellavedova probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.5¢
VWAP 24h63.9¢▲ above by 35.5pp
VWAP 7d63.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Matthew Dellavedova price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$110
90¢
$6.3K
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$11.5K
70¢
$266
65¢
$0
60¢
$3.1K
55¢
$42.3K
50¢
$3.0K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMatthew Dellavedova$15.5K@ 57.5¢
Runemup0x75f2…ff6d
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

RunemupMatthew Dellavedova$18.6K
BUY VWAP 57.9¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.