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Kraken vs. Capitals

Sports→HockeySettlement: KrakenLiquidity: $141.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $107.9KEvent: Kraken vs. Capitals
100.0¢
Kraken payout
0.0¢
Capitals payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Capitals · $5.9K net·7 wallets·$5.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCapitals$10.1K@ 66¢·0x0cdf…ec9e

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Kraken. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-11 21:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nhl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•If the Kraken win, the market will resolve to "Kraken".

•If the Capitals win, the market will resolve to "Capitals".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 11 at 5:00PM ET: If the Kraken win, the market will resolve to "Kraken". If the Capitals win, the market will resolve to "Capitals". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Kraken; negative values favor Capitals. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKraken · $1.4K
6hCapitals · $13.6K
24hCapitals · $25.8K

Kraken price VWAP

Volume-weighted Kraken price. Capitals fills are converted to the complementary Kraken probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h38.7¢▲ above by 61.3pp
VWAP 7d38.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Kraken price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$1.6K
90¢
$0
85¢
$5
80¢
$93
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$21
60¢
$52
55¢
$860
50¢
$484
45¢
$164
40¢
$758
35¢
$7.2K
30¢
$20.0K
25¢
$1.8K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYCapitals$10.1K@ 66.0¢0x0cdf…ec9e🐋—2 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x0cdf…ec9eCapitals$10.1K
BUY VWAP 66.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.