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Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Sports→Settlement: Pittsburgh PiratesLiquidity: $213.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $433.7KEvent: Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
0.0¢
Kansas City Royals payout
100.0¢
Pittsburgh Pirates payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:131 trades$196.9K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 66 min agoofficial metadata 35 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Pittsburgh Pirates · $43.6K net·11 wallets·$62.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLPittsburgh Pirates$49.0K@ 100¢·Kev69

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Pittsburgh Pirates. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-27 17:35 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for September 20 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Pittsburgh Pirates@ 91.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Pittsburgh Pirates@ 52.0¢7h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Pittsburgh Pirates UP 6.0pp · near-book depth $464 → $385 · 5s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Kansas City Royals; negative values favor Pittsburgh Pirates. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKansas City Royals · $22.0K
6hPittsburgh Pirates · $5.5K
24hPittsburgh Pirates · $29.5K

Kansas City Royals price VWAP

Volume-weighted Kansas City Royals price. Pittsburgh Pirates fills are converted to the complementary Kansas City Royals probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h31.7¢▼ below by 31.7pp
VWAP 7d31.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Kansas City Royals price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$142
70¢
$21.5K
65¢
$5
60¢
$9.0K
55¢
$14.0K
50¢
$13.4K
45¢
$33.1K
40¢
$2.3K
35¢
$0
30¢
$2
25¢
$12.4K
20¢
$10.0K
15¢
$2.1K
10¢
$18.4K
5¢
$11.7K
0¢
← now
$49.0K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLPittsburgh Pirates$49.0K@ 99.9¢
Kev690x1250…8f99
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYPittsburgh Pirates$12.9K@ 26.4¢
Kev690x1250…8f99
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYPittsburgh Pirates$17.1K@ 51.0¢0x5e94…5ba1🐋—about 7 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

HomeRunHazardPittsburgh Pirates$17.9K
BUY VWAP 69.6¢·5 fills
0x5e94…5ba1Pittsburgh Pirates$17.1K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·1 fill
dabossrealmanPittsburgh Pirates$14.5K
BUY VWAP 57.8¢·3 fills
Kev69Pittsburgh Pirates$12.9K
BUY VWAP 26.4¢·1 fill
KatalunygeaxvhjPittsburgh Pirates$12.9K
BUY VWAP 34.3¢·6 fills
curiePittsburgh Pirates$12.4K
BUY VWAP 83.2¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.