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Red Wings vs. Canadiens

Sports→HockeySettlement: CanadiensLiquidity: $120.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $277.8KEvent: Red Wings vs. Canadiens
0.0¢
Red Wings payout
100.0¢
Canadiens payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Red Wings · $3.0K net·6 wallets·$10.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYRed Wings$36.8K@ 36¢·Gourmet1

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Canadiens. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-10 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nhl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•If the Red Wings win, the market will resolve to "Red Wings".

•If the Canadiens win, the market will resolve to "Canadiens".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 10 at 7:00PM ET: If the Red Wings win, the market will resolve to "Red Wings". If the Canadiens win, the market will resolve to "Canadiens". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Red Wings@ 37.0¢3d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Red Wings; negative values favor Canadiens. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRed Wings · $2.7K
6hRed Wings · $28.5K
24hRed Wings · $23.3K

Red Wings price VWAP

Volume-weighted Red Wings price. Canadiens fills are converted to the complementary Red Wings probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h33.1¢▼ below by 33.1pp
VWAP 7d33.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Red Wings price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$8
50¢
$0
45¢
$3.8K
40¢
$8.4K
35¢
$61.5K
30¢
$16.0K
25¢
$38
20¢
$19
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$2.3K
0¢
← now
$9.1K

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYRed Wings$36.8K@ 36.0¢
Gourmet10xc430…1ebf
🐋—3 days ago
BUYCanadiens$12.0K@ 66.0¢0x0cdf…ec9e🐋—3 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Gourmet1Red Wings$36.8K
BUY VWAP 36.0¢·1 fill
0x0cdf…ec9eCanadiens$12.0K
BUY VWAP 66.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.