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UFC Fight Night: Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu vs. Mehemmedeli Osmanli (Bantamweight, Main Card)

● quote 1 min ago
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $150.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $570.4KEvent: UFC Fight Night: Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu vs. Mehemmedeli Osmanli (Bantamweight, Main Card)
99.9¢
Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu
0.1¢
Mehemmedeli Osmanli
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection6Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets20Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 59%💡 11 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:104 trades$208.5K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 43 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Mehemmedeli Osmanli · $21.4K net·11 wallets(2🐋)·$105.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMehemmedeli Osmanli$32.3K@ 74¢·0x2c33…0563

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Mehemmedeli Osmanli pressure: $11.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$11.9K
6h
−$3.1K
tracked
$208.5K

11 verified profitable wallets: Mehemmedeli Osmanli · $21.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 59% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -73.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 43 minutes old.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Mehemmedeli Osmanli or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-27 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu" if Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mehemmedeli Osmanli at UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos, scheduled for September 26, 2026.

•It will resolve to "Mehemmedeli Osmanli" if Mehemmedeli Osmanli is officially declared the winner.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu" if Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mehemmedeli Osmanli at UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos, scheduled for September 26, 2026. It will resolve to "Mehemmedeli Osmanli" if Mehemmedeli Osmanli is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 10, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Mehemmedeli Osmanli@ 74.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -66.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu@ 28.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $47.3K → $12.3K · 5s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu; negative values favor Mehemmedeli Osmanli. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMehemmedeli Osmanli · $11.9K
6hMehemmedeli Osmanli · $3.1K
24hMehemmedeli Osmanli · $21.7K

Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu price VWAP

Volume-weighted Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu price. Mehemmedeli Osmanli fills are converted to the complementary Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h54.5¢▲ above by 45.4pp
VWAP 7d54.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$63.8K
90¢
$6.2K
85¢
$7.6K
80¢
$1.0K
75¢
$1.0K
70¢
$2.4K
65¢
$1.2K
60¢
$310
55¢
$0
50¢
$322
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$2.8K
25¢
$121.9K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLIlimbek Akylbek Uulu$11.7K@ 99.9¢
WhiteMonster70x2c80…08ff
🐋—44 minutes ago
BUYIlimbek Akylbek Uulu$23.7K@ 98.9¢
karteror99.90x3050…26d2
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYIlimbek Akylbek Uulu$13.8K@ 97.9¢
karteror99.90x3050…26d2
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYMehemmedeli Osmanli$32.3K@ 74.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYMehemmedeli Osmanli$19.5K@ 73.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYIlimbek Akylbek Uulu$11.7K@ 28.0¢
matanovik0x39d3…9ef0
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x2c33…0563Mehemmedeli Osmanli$51.8K
BUY VWAP 73.6¢·2 fills
karteror99.9Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu$37.5K
BUY VWAP 98.5¢·2 fills
matanovikIlimbek Akylbek Uulu$29.9K
BUY VWAP 28.0¢·9 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.