PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights

Sports→HockeySettlement: Golden KnightsLiquidity: $781.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $684.1KEvent: Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights
0.0¢
Maple Leafs payout
100.0¢
Golden Knights payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Golden Knights · $2.1K net·4 wallets·$6.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLMaple Leafs$135.6K@ 72¢·viboomchuu

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Golden Knights. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-09 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nhl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•If the Maple Leafs win, the market will resolve to "Maple Leafs".

•If the Golden Knights win, the market will resolve to "Golden Knights".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 8 at 10:00PM ET: If the Maple Leafs win, the market will resolve to "Maple Leafs". If the Golden Knights win, the market will resolve to "Golden Knights". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASESELL Maple Leafs5d ago
Outcome checks pending
POSITION CHANGESELL Maple Leafs@ 70.0¢5d ago
15m CONFIRMED +29.0pp1h CONFIRMED +28.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Maple Leafs; negative values favor Golden Knights. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMaple Leafs · $70.2K
6hMaple Leafs · $59.5K
24hMaple Leafs · $59.5K

Maple Leafs price VWAP

Volume-weighted Maple Leafs price. Golden Knights fills are converted to the complementary Maple Leafs probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h43.1¢▼ below by 43.1pp
VWAP 7d43.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Maple Leafs price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$1.2K
75¢
$0
70¢
$146.6K
65¢
$1
60¢
$389
55¢
$2.0K
50¢
$501
45¢
$45.7K
40¢
$36.9K
35¢
$92.0K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$8.5K

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMaple Leafs$13.2K@ 47.0¢
Gourmet10xc430…1ebf
🐋—5 days ago
BUYGolden Knights$12.0K@ 58.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—5 days ago
SELLMaple Leafs$135.6K@ 72.0¢
viboomchuu0x291d…1f97
🐋—5 days ago
SELLMaple Leafs$10.9K@ 73.0¢
viboomchuu0x291d…1f97
🐋—5 days ago
BUYMaple Leafs$79.5K@ 39.0¢
viboomchuu0x291d…1f97
🐋—5 days ago
BUYGolden Knights$10.7K@ 62.0¢0x0cdf…ec9e🐋—5 days ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Seahawks vs. Broncos
57.5¢$515.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$427.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$307.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Nottingham Forest win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$305.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Sunderland win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$296.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Ipswich Town win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$275.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Avalanche vs. Stars
48.5¢$250.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A
25.5¢$240.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

viboomchuuMaple Leafs$79.5K
BUY VWAP 39.0¢·1 fill
Gourmet1Maple Leafs$39.8K
BUY VWAP 46.8¢·7 fills
BrotherObamaGolden Knights$20.0K
BUY VWAP 58.0¢·2 fills
0x0cdf…ec9eGolden Knights$10.7K
BUY VWAP 62.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.