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Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 5 hoursLiquidity: $47.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.6MEvent: Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs
55.0¢
FURIA
45.0¢
G2
4.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection11Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets22Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution85Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority48Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 13 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:265 trades$637.3K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 9 min agoofficial metadata 41s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:G2 · $22.8K net·13 wallets(1🐋)·$103.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFURIA$196.8K@ 56¢·110thst

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

FURIA pressure: $70.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$70.9K
6h
+$281.3K
tracked
$637.3K

13 verified profitable wallets: G2 · $22.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
4.0¢displayed spread

Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.

Data confidence 75% · priority 48

Since latest market sweep: -10.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Spread is 4.0¢ before size-dependent slippage.
  • •Less than 5h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from FURIA or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-11 15:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win the match against G2.

•This market will resolve to "G2" if G2 win the match against FURIA.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 1 match between FURIA and G2 in the FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win the match against G2. This market will resolve to "G2" if G2 win the match against FURIA. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 25, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 11, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
TrippleEX2 linked markets · $18.3K gross
0xc323…00772 linked markets · $18.3K gross
RN12 linked markets · $14.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY FURIA11m ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY FURIA@ 67.0¢26m ago
15m CONFIRMED +8.0pp
ANTI CHASEBUY FURIA26m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY FURIA@ 59.0¢53m ago
15m INVALIDATED -11.0pp
Latest book event: FURIA UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $1.4K → $97 · 3s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor FURIA; negative values favor G2. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFURIA · $70.9K
6hFURIA · $281.3K
24hFURIA · $292.5K

FURIA price VWAP

Volume-weighted FURIA price. G2 fills are converted to the complementary FURIA probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current55.0¢
VWAP 24h57.9¢▼ below by 2.9pp
VWAP 7d57.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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FURIA price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$125
70¢
$0
65¢
$29.2K
60¢
$141.5K
55¢
← now
$458.8K
50¢
$6.0K
45¢
$1.4K
40¢
$321
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYFURIA$10.4K@ 64.8¢0x5f30…3aee🐋—28 minutes ago
BUYFURIA$77.7K@ 60.9¢
joshlul0xacc8…1df3
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYG2$10.2K@ 43.0¢
vjnn0x55a1…db28
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYG2$14.8K@ 44.0¢
542hfwo030xe915…3d7f
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYG2$17.1K@ 43.0¢
CORGI80x79ae…9a4a
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYFURIA$10.9K@ 58.0¢0xc74e…e725🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYFURIA$28.6K@ 57.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYFURIA$196.8K@ 55.9¢
110thst0x1eea…db08
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYG2$15.7K@ 45.0¢
ExplosiveNinja0x73e3…1be9
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYFURIA$20.0K@ 61.0¢0xf559…f462🐋—about 13 hours ago
BUYFURIA$12.1K@ 60.7¢
TrippleEX0x994e…6136
🐋—about 14 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

110thstFURIA$196.8K
BUY VWAP 55.9¢·1 fill
joshlulFURIA$77.7K
BUY VWAP 60.9¢·1 fill
0x1610…ae49FURIA$35.7K
BUY VWAP 57.4¢·2 fills
0x29b5…cc6cG2$29.1K
BUY VWAP 43.3¢·10 fills
0xc74e…e725FURIA$22.5K
BUY VWAP 59.4¢·3 fills
0xf559…f462FURIA$20.0K
BUY VWAP 61.0¢·1 fill
Diabolical-PrizeG2$19.4K
BUY VWAP 44.3¢·34 fills
CORGI8G2$18.3K
BUY VWAP 43.0¢·2 fills
vjnnG2$17.3K
BUY VWAP 42.0¢·5 fills
ExplosiveNinjaG2$15.7K
BUY VWAP 45.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.