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Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 - Map 1 Winner

● quote 18s ago
Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $878.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $427.3KEvent: Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs
0.1¢
FURIA
100.0¢
G2
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection33Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets65Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 72%💡 11 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:224 trades$124.9K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 29%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 11 min agoofficial metadata 46s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:G2 · $6.6K net·11 wallets·$10.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLG2$16.6K@ 100¢·aaaa298

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

FURIA pressure: $41.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$41.3K
6h
+$38.5K
tracked
$124.9K

11 verified profitable wallets: G2 · $6.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 72% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 11 minutes old.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from FURIA or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-11 15:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win Map 1 against G2.

•This market will resolve to "G2" if G2 win Map 1 against FURIA.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 1 match between FURIA and G2 in the FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win Map 1 against G2. This market will resolve to "G2" if G2 win Map 1 against FURIA. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 25, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 11, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
aaaa2983 linked markets · $46.3K gross
RN13 linked markets · $46.0K gross
0xc323…00773 linked markets · $38.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: G2 DOWN 2.5pp · near-book depth $9.3K → $3.4K · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor FURIA; negative values favor G2. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFURIA · $41.3K
6hFURIA · $38.5K
24hFURIA · $38.5K

FURIA price VWAP

Volume-weighted FURIA price. G2 fills are converted to the complementary FURIA probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h30.1¢▼ below by 30.1pp
VWAP 7d30.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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FURIA price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$5.2K
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$1.1K
65¢
$2.3K
60¢
$3.2K
55¢
$10.4K
50¢
$25.4K
45¢
$2.6K
40¢
$7.6K
35¢
$4.2K
30¢
$1.8K
25¢
$183
20¢
$8.1K
15¢
$847
10¢
$2.6K
5¢
$394
0¢
← now
$48.8K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLG2$16.6K@ 99.9¢
aaaa2980x4ebc…a33d
🐋—24 minutes ago
SELLG2$12.8K@ 99.9¢
iii2520xed44…4f76
🐋—25 minutes ago
BUYFURIA$10.4K@ 54.7¢
sdjhkw10xb4a0…968d
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

sdjhkw1FURIA$12.1K
BUY VWAP 54.4¢·2 fills
aaaa298G2$11.2K
BUY VWAP 66.3¢·6 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.