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Spread: FC Barcelona (-3.5)

Sports→Settlement: FC BarcelonaLiquidity: $329.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $454.7KEvent: FC Barcelona vs. Real Racing Club - More Markets
100.0¢
FC Barcelona payout
0.0¢
Real Racing Club payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFC Barcelona$17.6K@ 49¢·Zzzz87

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome FC Barcelona. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-16 19:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.laliga.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "FC Barcelona" if FC Barcelona win the game by 4 or more goals.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Real Racing Club".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for September 16 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Barcelona" if FC Barcelona win the game by 4 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Real Racing Club". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on laliga.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY FC Barcelona10d ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY FC Barcelona10d ago
Outcome checks pending
ACCUMULATIONBUY FC Barcelona@ 49.0¢10d ago
15m CONFIRMED +13.0pp1h CONFIRMED +34.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY FC Barcelona@ 49.0¢10d ago
15m CONFIRMED +13.0pp1h CONFIRMED +34.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor FC Barcelona; negative values favor Real Racing Club. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hReal Racing Club · $15.4K
6hFC Barcelona · $83.7K
24hFC Barcelona · $67.8K

FC Barcelona price VWAP

Volume-weighted FC Barcelona price. Real Racing Club fills are converted to the complementary FC Barcelona probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h53.6¢▲ above by 46.4pp
VWAP 7d53.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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FC Barcelona price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$13.8K
90¢
$2.4K
85¢
$0
80¢
$3.5K
75¢
$142
70¢
$116
65¢
$9
60¢
$9.6K
55¢
$363
50¢
$205
45¢
$141.3K
40¢
$20.6K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLFC Barcelona$10.8K@ 99.9¢0xeaa2…670e🐋—10 days ago
BUYFC Barcelona$10.0K@ 49.8¢
nb19850x5815…0ae7
🐋—10 days ago
BUYFC Barcelona$10.0K@ 49.5¢
nb19850x5815…0ae7
🐋—10 days ago
BUYFC Barcelona$10.0K@ 49.5¢
nb19850x5815…0ae7
🐋—10 days ago
BUYFC Barcelona$10.0K@ 49.0¢
nb19850x5815…0ae7
🐋—10 days ago
BUYFC Barcelona$10.0K@ 49.3¢
nb19850x5815…0ae7
🐋—10 days ago
BUYFC Barcelona$10.0K@ 49.0¢
nb19850x5815…0ae7
🐋—10 days ago
BUYFC Barcelona$10.0K@ 49.0¢
nb19850x5815…0ae7
🐋—10 days ago
BUYFC Barcelona$17.6K@ 49.0¢
Zzzz870x2117…5c26
🐋—10 days ago
BUYReal Racing Club$10.0K@ 57.2¢0xf559…f462🐋—10 days ago
BUYReal Racing Club$10.9K@ 54.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—10 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.