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Shanghai: Pavel Kotov vs Jake Delaney

Sports→Settlement: Pavel KotovLiquidity: $633.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $290.1KEvent: Shanghai: Pavel Kotov vs Jake Delaney
100.0¢
Pavel Kotov payout
0.0¢
Jake Delaney payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:82 trades$82.1K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 28%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 28 min agoofficial metadata 21 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Pavel Kotov · $12.1K net·11 wallets(1🐋)·$27.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPavel Kotov$13.1K@ 92¢·Flaznorp

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Pavel Kotov. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-16 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Pavel Kotov and Jake Delaney in the Shanghai, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pavel Kotov' if Pavel Kotov advances against Jake Delaney. This market will resolve to 'Jake Delaney' if Jake Delaney advances against Pavel Kotov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Jake Delaney1h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Jake Delaney1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Jake Delaney@ 24.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
MARKET SWEEPBUY Jake Delaney@ 23.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Pavel Kotov UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $42.6K → $60 · 53s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Pavel Kotov; negative values favor Jake Delaney. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJake Delaney · $18.8K
6hJake Delaney · $20.3K
24hJake Delaney · $20.3K

Pavel Kotov price VWAP

Volume-weighted Pavel Kotov price. Jake Delaney fills are converted to the complementary Pavel Kotov probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h78.2¢▲ above by 21.8pp
VWAP 7d78.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Pavel Kotov price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$14.3K
90¢
$13.1K
85¢
$1.2K
80¢
$13.0K
75¢
$21.9K
70¢
$81
65¢
$1.0K
60¢
$4.0K
55¢
$3.0K
50¢
$2.9K
45¢
$2.7K
40¢
$0
35¢
$2.7K
30¢
$2.2K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYPavel Kotov$13.1K@ 92.0¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x78be…bde0Jake Delaney$19.2K
BUY VWAP 21.4¢·5 fills
FlaznorpPavel Kotov$13.1K
BUY VWAP 92.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.