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Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $73.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $502.6KEvent: Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
34.5¢
BIG
65.5¢
G2
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection22Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets96Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution89Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority71Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 9 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:136 trades$193.6K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 57s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:G2 · $62.2K net·9 wallets·$65.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBIG$35.0K@ 50¢·ExplosiveNinja

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW G2 SETUP
What the tape says

G2 pressure: $43.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$43.2K
6h
−$4.4K
tracked
$193.6K

9 verified profitable wallets: G2 · $62.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 71

Since latest large flow: -17.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from G2 or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-09 14:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "BIG" if BIG win the match against G2.

•This market will resolve to "G2" if G2 win the match against BIG.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket round 1 match between BIG and G2 in the FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A, initially scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "BIG" if BIG win the match against G2. This market will resolve to "G2" if G2 win the match against BIG. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 23, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 9, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
RN12 linked markets · $30.2K gross
0x9e3e…f8823 linked markets · $29.2K gross
CORGI82 linked markets · $20.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY BIG@ 52.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED +1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -19.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY G2@ 73.0¢12h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -2.0pp
Latest book event: G2 DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $2.9K → $6.2K · 20s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor BIG; negative values favor G2. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hG2 · $43.2K
6hG2 · $4.4K
24hG2 · $36.0K

BIG price VWAP

Volume-weighted BIG price. G2 fills are converted to the complementary BIG probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current34.5¢
VWAP 24h41.8¢▼ below by 7.3pp
VWAP 7d41.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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BIG price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$4
50¢
$104.0K
45¢
$3.8K
40¢
$710
35¢
$2.2K
30¢
← now
$7.0K
25¢
$75.8K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYBIG$35.0K@ 50.0¢
ExplosiveNinja0x73e3…1be9
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBIG$11.9K@ 29.0¢
CORGI80x79ae…9a4a
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ExplosiveNinjaBIG$35.0K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·1 fill
RN1G2$30.1K
BUY VWAP 46.0¢·6 fills
0x29b5…cc6cG2$21.0K
BUY VWAP 72.2¢·8 fills
CORGI8BIG$16.8K
BUY VWAP 33.5¢·2 fills
mooseborzoiG2$13.2K
BUY VWAP 72.4¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.