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Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner

● quote 13s ago
Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $214.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $178.2KEvent: Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Alliance (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B
100.0¢
Legacy
0.1¢
Alliance
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets85Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:47 trades$78.8K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 21 min agoofficial metadata 30s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Legacy · $3.0K net·3 wallets·$3.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLegacy$20.4K@ 100¢·LhordGryffin

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$966
6h
+$15.7K
tracked
$78.8K

3 verified profitable wallets: Legacy · $3.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 21 minutes old.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-09 13:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win Map 2 against Alliance.

•This market will resolve to "Alliance" if Alliance win Map 2 against Legacy.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Legacy and Alliance in the FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B, initially scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win Map 2 against Alliance. This market will resolve to "Alliance" if Alliance win Map 2 against Legacy. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 23, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 9, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
aaaa2983 linked markets · $52.6K gross
WillBeQuant2 linked markets · $8.6K gross
backback2 linked markets · $7.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Legacy; negative values favor Alliance. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLegacy · $966
6hLegacy · $15.7K
24hLegacy · $15.7K

Legacy price VWAP

Volume-weighted Legacy price. Alliance fills are converted to the complementary Legacy probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h92.7¢▲ above by 7.3pp
VWAP 7d92.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Legacy price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$55.0K
90¢
$1.3K
85¢
$1.2K
80¢
$3.1K
75¢
$2.4K
70¢
$14.6K
65¢
$1.2K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLLegacy$16.7K@ 99.9¢
aaaa2980x4ebc…a33d
🐋—30 minutes ago
BUYLegacy$20.4K@ 99.9¢
LhordGryffin0x9909…311c
🐋—30 minutes ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

LhordGryffinLegacy$20.4K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
aaaa298Legacy$11.0K
BUY VWAP 86.0¢·8 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.