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James Madison vs. San Diego State

Sports→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $231.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $579.6KEvent: James Madison vs. San Diego State
45.5¢
James Madison payout
54.5¢
San Diego State payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:San Diego State · $5.9K net·10 wallets·$9.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJames Madison$181.5K@ 93¢·ethanaz

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-20 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "James Madison" if James Madison win the game.

•This market will resolve to "San Diego State" if San Diego State win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between James Madison and San Diego State, scheduled for September 19 at 10:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "James Madison" if James Madison win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego State" if San Diego State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 7d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 7d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r2 linked markets · $36.1K gross
AppleTiime2 linked markets · $5.2K gross
quavoo2 linked markets · $4.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor James Madison; negative values favor San Diego State. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSan Diego State · $1.4K
6hJames Madison · $251.2K
24hJames Madison · $230.4K

James Madison price VWAP

Volume-weighted James Madison price. San Diego State fills are converted to the complementary James Madison probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current45.5¢
VWAP 24h79.9¢▼ below by 34.4pp
VWAP 7d79.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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James Madison price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$5.2K
90¢
$184.5K
85¢
$27.0K
80¢
$34.4K
75¢
$2.6K
70¢
$18.5K
65¢
$407
60¢
$104
55¢
$21.8K
50¢
$0
45¢
← now
$63.0K
40¢
$697
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 90¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYJames Madison$181.5K@ 93.0¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—7 days ago
BUYJames Madison$26.8K@ 86.0¢
TAIWANNUMBERONE0xe015…6ffd
🐋—7 days ago
BUYJames Madison$24.3K@ 83.0¢
TAIWANNUMBERONE0xe015…6ffd
🐋—7 days ago
BUYJames Madison$18.5K@ 74.0¢
TAIWANNUMBERONE0xe015…6ffd
🐋—7 days ago
BUYSan Diego State$11.0K@ 55.0¢
ChonkyChocolateCake0xf23c…9f81
🐋—7 days ago
BUYSan Diego State$14.4K@ 54.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—7 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ethanazJames Madison$181.5K
BUY VWAP 93.0¢·1 fill
TAIWANNUMBERONEJames Madison$77.8K
BUY VWAP 81.6¢·4 fills
iDARKenjoyerJames Madison$14.5K
BUY VWAP 58.0¢·2 fills
ChonkyChocolateCakeSan Diego State$11.0K
BUY VWAP 55.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.