PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5

Sports→Settlement: OverLiquidity: $115.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $378.2KEvent: Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC - More Markets
100.0¢
Over payout
0.0¢
Under payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:65 trades$147.6K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 938 min agoofficial metadata 775 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Over · $4.1K net·12 wallets(2🐋)·$85.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYUnder$28.0K@ 50¢·0x076d…8d4c

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Over. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-16 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.efl.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Over" if Manchester United FC and Brighton & Hove Albion FC combine to score 4 or more goals in this game.

•If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming EFL Cup (Carabao Cup) game between Manchester United FC and Brighton & Hove Albion FC, scheduled for September 16 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Manchester United FC and Brighton & Hove Albion FC combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on efl.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
UpTheBlues2 linked markets · $10.3K gross
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $7.5K gross
GoalLineGhost2 linked markets · $3.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Under@ 54.0¢18h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -32.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Under DOWN 12.5pp · near-book depth $6.7K → $10 · 5s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Over; negative values favor Under. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hOver · $0
6hUnder · $3.4K
24hUnder · $3.4K

Over price VWAP

Volume-weighted Over price. Under fills are converted to the complementary Over probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h50.3¢▲ above by 49.7pp
VWAP 7d50.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Over price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$2.9K
90¢
$9
85¢
$2.5K
80¢
$108
75¢
$219
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$11
55¢
$0
50¢
$53.4K
45¢
$87.4K
40¢
$1.1K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYUnder$18.9K@ 53.0¢
Jsram0x8372…5223
🐋—about 18 hours ago
BUYOver$24.0K@ 48.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 18 hours ago
BUYUnder$28.0K@ 50.0¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—about 18 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner
100.0¢$2.1Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner
0.1¢$1.7Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
73.5¢$1.5Mpriority49Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner
100.0¢$1.3Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs NRG (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
68.5¢$542.1Kpriority53Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$431.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x076d…8d4cUnder$35.4K
BUY VWAP 49.5¢·2 fills
JsramUnder$24.9K
BUY VWAP 52.7¢·2 fills
0x2c33…0563Over$24.0K
BUY VWAP 48.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.