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LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Playoffs

● quote 14s ago
Sports→Closes: about 10 hoursLiquidity: $322.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $257.8KEvent: LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
36.5¢
KT Rolster
63.5¢
Dplus KIA
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection13Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:36 trades$91.6K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 36%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 16 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKT Rolster$25.2K@ 36¢·alexdave888

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

KT Rolster pressure: $11.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$11.8K
6h
+$49.9K
tracked
$91.6K

1 verified profitable wallet: Dplus KIA · $1.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 16 minutes old.
  • •Less than 10h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from KT Rolster or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-04 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win the match against Dplus KIA.

•This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win the match against KT Rolster.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket round 2 match between KT Rolster and Dplus KIA in the LCK Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win the match against Dplus KIA. This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win the match against KT Rolster. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 4, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY KT Rolster@ 36.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor KT Rolster; negative values favor Dplus KIA. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKT Rolster · $11.8K
6hKT Rolster · $49.9K
24hKT Rolster · $30.5K

KT Rolster price VWAP

Volume-weighted KT Rolster price. Dplus KIA fills are converted to the complementary KT Rolster probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current36.5¢
VWAP 24h35.9¢▲ above by 0.7pp
VWAP 7d35.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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KT Rolster price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
← now
$91.6K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYKT Rolster$11.7K@ 37.0¢
omomom30x0a53…077b
🐋—16 minutes ago
BUYKT Rolster$25.2K@ 36.0¢
alexdave8880xa4fd…748b
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

alexdave888KT Rolster$25.2K
BUY VWAP 36.0¢·1 fill
omomom3KT Rolster$11.7K
BUY VWAP 37.0¢·1 fill
MeiGuNiuBiKT Rolster$10.0K
BUY VWAP 36.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.