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US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Quentin Halys

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 6 daysLiquidity: $116.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.0MEvent: US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Quentin Halys
91.5¢
Alexander Zverev
8.5¢
Quentin Halys
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection8Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets72Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority62Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 83%💡 11 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:173 trades$338.9K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 32%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Alexander Zverev · $50.4K net·11 wallets·$69.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAlexander Zverev$24.2K@ 85¢·0xDigitalOil

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Alexander Zverev SETUP
What the tape says

Alexander Zverev pressure: $26.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$26.2K
6h
+$46.8K
tracked
$338.9K

11 verified profitable wallets: Alexander Zverev · $50.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 83% · priority 62

Since latest large flow: -2.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Alexander Zverev or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-10 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Zverev and Quentin Halys in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Zverev' if Alexander Zverev advances against Quentin Halys. This market will resolve to 'Quentin Halys' if Quentin Halys advances against Alexander Zverev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Quentin Halys1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Quentin Halys@ 11.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -4.0pp1h CONFIRMED +31.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Alexander Zverev@ 85.0¢13h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Alexander Zverev@ 85.0¢18h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: Quentin Halys UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $3.5K → $4.1K · 5s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alexander Zverev; negative values favor Quentin Halys. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlexander Zverev · $26.2K
6hAlexander Zverev · $46.8K
24hAlexander Zverev · $110.8K

Alexander Zverev price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alexander Zverev price. Quentin Halys fills are converted to the complementary Alexander Zverev probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current91.5¢
VWAP 24h79.3¢▲ above by 12.2pp
VWAP 7d79.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Alexander Zverev price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
← now
$75.7K
85¢
$115.9K
80¢
$20.9K
75¢
$21.7K
70¢
$15.6K
65¢
$30.8K
60¢
$56.5K
55¢
$8.8K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 85¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYQuentin Halys$11.0K@ 35.3¢
0xDigitalOil0x0609…b093
🐋—36 minutes ago
BUYQuentin Halys$23.1K@ 30.9¢
0xDigitalOil0x0609…b093
🐋—36 minutes ago
BUYQuentin Halys$12.7K@ 10.8¢
0xwise0x0e60…3bad
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYAlexander Zverev$13.1K@ 91.0¢
degenfren0x979f…4032
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYAlexander Zverev$10.8K@ 86.0¢
0xDigitalOil0x0609…b093
🐋—about 13 hours ago
BUYAlexander Zverev$24.2K@ 85.0¢
0xDigitalOil0x0609…b093
🐋—about 13 hours ago
BUYAlexander Zverev$11.2K@ 85.0¢
Homelandom0x3a1b…4c4d
🐋—about 18 hours ago
BUYAlexander Zverev$10.0K@ 85.0¢
Cuco840xf3b0…23a1
🐋—about 18 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

FlaznorpAlexander Zverev$39.3K
BUY VWAP 79.0¢·20 fills
0xDigitalOilAlexander Zverev$35.0K
BUY VWAP 85.3¢·2 fills
0xDigitalOilQuentin Halys$34.0K
BUY VWAP 32.2¢·2 fills
0xwiseQuentin Halys$20.4K
BUY VWAP 11.6¢·2 fills
Cuco84Alexander Zverev$17.2K
BUY VWAP 85.0¢·2 fills
0x78be…bde0Quentin Halys$14.4K
BUY VWAP 31.5¢·2 fills
degenfrenAlexander Zverev$13.1K
BUY VWAP 91.0¢·1 fill
0xc323…0077Quentin Halys$12.0K
BUY VWAP 12.9¢·6 fills
HomelandomAlexander Zverev$11.2K
BUY VWAP 85.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.