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LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner

Sports→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $1.8MOfficial 24h Vol: $1.2MEvent: LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
43.5¢
KT Rolster payout
56.5¢
Dplus KIA payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:224 trades$489.4K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1246 min agoofficial metadata 1192 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Dplus KIA · $63.5K net·21 wallets(2🐋)·$131.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDplus KIA$33.7K@ 99¢·fkgggg2mouzfuria

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-04 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win Game 4 against Dplus KIA.

•This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win Game 4 against KT Rolster.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket round 2 match between KT Rolster and Dplus KIA in the LCK Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win Game 4 against Dplus KIA. This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win Game 4 against KT Rolster. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 4, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 20h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 20h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
2543217584 linked markets · $349.2K gross
Diabolical-Prize5 linked markets · $187.2K gross
sulumos3 linked markets · $185.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Dplus KIA@ 90.0¢22h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Dplus KIA UP 6.5pp · near-book depth $933 → $1.9K · 1s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor KT Rolster; negative values favor Dplus KIA. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKT Rolster · $17.7K
6hDplus KIA · $17.9K
24hDplus KIA · $17.9K

KT Rolster price VWAP

Volume-weighted KT Rolster price. Dplus KIA fills are converted to the complementary KT Rolster probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current43.5¢
VWAP 24h32.6¢▲ above by 10.9pp
VWAP 7d32.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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KT Rolster price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$3.5K
55¢
$9.6K
50¢
$65.8K
45¢
$178.8K
40¢
← now
$31.8K
35¢
$1.2K
30¢
$5.4K
25¢
$31.4K
20¢
$20.3K
15¢
$0
10¢
$17.3K
5¢
$6.2K
0¢
$118.2K

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLDplus KIA$15.0K@ 99.9¢
ColinHe0x6842…20d0
🐋—about 21 hours ago
SELLDplus KIA$17.1K@ 99.9¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋—about 21 hours ago
BUYDplus KIA$33.7K@ 98.9¢
fkgggg2mouzfuria0x52ec…a6f3
🐋—about 21 hours ago
BUYDplus KIA$16.9K@ 99.0¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋—about 21 hours ago
BUYDplus KIA$12.9K@ 72.0¢
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb
🐋—about 22 hours ago
BUYDplus KIA$11.0K@ 47.9¢
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb
🐋—about 22 hours ago
SELLDplus KIA$14.5K@ 51.0¢
2543217580x04b1…d224
🐋—about 22 hours ago
BUYDplus KIA$19.1K@ 51.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 22 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

fkgggg2mouzfuriaDplus KIA$41.3K
BUY VWAP 81.3¢·3 fills
Diabolical-PrizeDplus KIA$34.2K
BUY VWAP 57.0¢·5 fills
254321758Dplus KIA$21.1K
BUY VWAP 88.7¢·4 fills
0x2c33…0563Dplus KIA$19.1K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·1 fill
zb8Dplus KIA$17.5K
BUY VWAP 48.7¢·3 fills
5e46hDplus KIA$16.9K
BUY VWAP 99.0¢·1 fill
BrotherObamaKT Rolster$16.5K
BUY VWAP 43.7¢·4 fills
0xheavy888Dplus KIA$13.8K
BUY VWAP 59.5¢·8 fills
minjiDplus KIA$13.2K
BUY VWAP 59.2¢·6 fills
254321758KT Rolster$13.2K
BUY VWAP 47.5¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.