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Zhangjiagang: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Koki Matsuda

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 6 daysLiquidity: $11.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $201.4KEvent: Zhangjiagang: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Koki Matsuda
87.0¢
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
13.0¢
Koki Matsuda
4.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection3Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets12Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution52Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority37Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:145 trades$73.2K trackedsource coverage 36%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Koki Matsuda · $2.0K net·6 wallets·$17.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMitsuki Wei Kang Leong$7.5K@ 85¢·0x2c33…0563

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong pressure: $2.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$2.5K
6h
+$2.6K
tracked
$73.2K

6 verified profitable wallets: Koki Matsuda · $2.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
4.0¢displayed spread

Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.

Data confidence 74% · priority 37

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Spread is 4.0¢ before size-dependent slippage.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-09 04:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong and Koki Matsuda in the Zhangjiagang, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong' if Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong advances against Koki Matsuda. This market will resolve to 'Koki Matsuda' if Koki Matsuda advances against Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Koki Matsuda DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $41 → $91 · 48s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong; negative values favor Koki Matsuda. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMitsuki Wei Kang Leong · $2.5K
6hMitsuki Wei Kang Leong · $2.6K
24hMitsuki Wei Kang Leong · $783

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong price VWAP

Volume-weighted Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong price. Koki Matsuda fills are converted to the complementary Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current87.0¢
VWAP 24h72.8¢▲ above by 14.2pp
VWAP 7d72.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$129
85¢
← now
$33.6K
80¢
$11.7K
75¢
$4.0K
70¢
$10
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$1.8K
50¢
$14.0K
45¢
$0
40¢
$6.5K
35¢
$1.5K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 85¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.