PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev

Sports→Settlement: Daniel Merida AguilarLiquidity: $459.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $2.5MEvent: US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev
100.0¢
Daniel Merida Aguilar payout
0.0¢
Andrey Rublev payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLDaniel Merida Aguilar$218.5K@ 100¢·Supremeleader75

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Daniel Merida Aguilar. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-09 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Andrey Rublev in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Andrey Rublev. This market will resolve to 'Andrey Rublev' if Andrey Rublev advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Andrey Rublev@ 58.0¢27d ago
15m INVALIDATED -26.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Andrey Rublev@ 57.0¢27d ago
15m INVALIDATED -5.0pp1h INVALIDATED -27.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
MARKET SWEEPBUY Andrey Rublev@ 80.0¢27d ago
15m INVALIDATED -26.0pp1h INVALIDATED -33.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Andrey Rublev27d ago
Outcome checks pending

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Daniel Merida Aguilar; negative values favor Andrey Rublev. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAndrey Rublev · $281.9K
6hAndrey Rublev · $944.7K
24hAndrey Rublev · $931.6K

Daniel Merida Aguilar price VWAP

Volume-weighted Daniel Merida Aguilar price. Andrey Rublev fills are converted to the complementary Daniel Merida Aguilar probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h54.7¢▲ above by 45.3pp
VWAP 7d54.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Daniel Merida Aguilar price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$282.0K
90¢
$14.6K
85¢
$11.6K
80¢
$0
75¢
$1.9K
70¢
$3.4K
65¢
$30.5K
60¢
$8.8K
55¢
$8.5K
50¢
$19.3K
45¢
$159.7K
40¢
$124.7K
35¢
$695.3K
30¢
$178
25¢
$0
20¢
$7.2K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLDaniel Merida Aguilar$218.5K@ 99.9¢
Supremeleader750x5dab…22e1
🐋—27 days ago
BUYAndrey Rublev$104.0K@ 52.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—27 days ago
BUYDaniel Merida Aguilar$15.9K@ 48.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—27 days ago
BUYAndrey Rublev$31.6K@ 62.0¢
ripley86alien0x168a…0d24
🐋—27 days ago
BUYAndrey Rublev$62.6K@ 62.0¢
ripley86alien0x168a…0d24
🐋—27 days ago
BUYAndrey Rublev$188.1K@ 62.0¢
ripley86alien0x168a…0d24
🐋—27 days ago
BUYAndrey Rublev$28.0K@ 62.0¢
ripley86alien0x168a…0d24
🐋—27 days ago
BUYAndrey Rublev$104.0K@ 61.0¢
ripley86alien0x168a…0d24
🐋—27 days ago
BUYAndrey Rublev$75.1K@ 61.0¢
0xd4aa6f8e91cfea29b66a48ebff528140x709e…66f5
🐋—27 days ago
BUYDaniel Merida Aguilar$46.8K@ 39.0¢
jtwyslljy0x9cb9…32f2
🐋—27 days ago
BUYAndrey Rublev$46.8K@ 62.0¢
ripley86alien0x168a…0d24
🐋—27 days ago
BUYAndrey Rublev$24.4K@ 61.0¢
ripley86alien0x168a…0d24
🐋—27 days ago
BUYAndrey Rublev$13.9K@ 57.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—28 days ago
BUYDaniel Merida Aguilar$20.0K@ 44.1¢0x760f…326a🐋—28 days ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros
91.0¢$1.3Mpriority62Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$435.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$307.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Nottingham Forest win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$305.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees
45.5¢$304.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Sunderland win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$296.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.