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Western Carolina vs. Cincinnati

Sports→Settlement: CincinnatiLiquidity: $101.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $63.9KEvent: Western Carolina vs. Cincinnati
0.0¢
Western Carolina payout
100.0¢
Cincinnati payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Cincinnati · $56.5K net·2 wallets(1🐋)·$56.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCincinnati$41.6K@ 99¢·0x076d…8d4c

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Cincinnati. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-12 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Western Carolina" if Western Carolina win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Cincinnati" if Cincinnati win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Western Carolina and Cincinnati, scheduled for September 12 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Western Carolina" if Western Carolina win the game. This market will resolve to "Cincinnati" if Cincinnati win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Western Carolina; negative values favor Cincinnati. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hWestern Carolina · $50
6hCincinnati · $56.5K
24hCincinnati · $56.5K

Western Carolina price VWAP

Volume-weighted Western Carolina price. Cincinnati fills are converted to the complementary Western Carolina probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h1.5¢▼ below by 1.5pp
VWAP 7d1.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Western Carolina price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$56.7K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYCincinnati$15.0K@ 98.5¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—5 days ago
BUYCincinnati$41.6K@ 98.5¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—5 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x076d…8d4cCincinnati$56.6K
BUY VWAP 98.5¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.