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Ravens vs. Falcons

Sports→American FootballSettlement: RavensLiquidity: $3.6MOfficial 24h Vol: $7.2MEvent: Ravens vs. Falcons
100.0¢
Ravens payout
0.0¢
Falcons payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:1227 trades$3.1M tracked3% 🐋source coverage 50%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1178 min agoofficial metadata 1169 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Falcons · $675.3K net·34 wallets(6🐋)·$1.7M gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFalcons$492.9K@ 62¢·0x2c33…0563

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Ravens. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-12 00:20 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Ravens" if Ravens win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Falcons" if Falcons win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL football game between Ravens and Falcons, scheduled for October 11 at 8:20PM ET: This market will resolve to "Ravens" if Ravens win the game. This market will resolve to "Falcons" if Falcons win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x2c33…05632 linked markets · $735.8K gross
milkteaboba2 linked markets · $464.4K gross
ethanaz2 linked markets · $319.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Ravens20h ago
Outcome checks pending
POSITION CHANGEBUY Ravens@ 38.0¢20h ago
15m CONFIRMED +36.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
POSITION CHANGEBUY Falcons@ 88.0¢21h ago
15m INVALIDATED -40.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Falcons21h ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: Falcons DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $24 → $5 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Ravens; negative values favor Falcons. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRavens · $233.1K
6hFalcons · $1.5M
24hFalcons · $1.4M

Ravens price VWAP

Volume-weighted Ravens price. Falcons fills are converted to the complementary Ravens probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h36.7¢▲ above by 63.3pp
VWAP 7d36.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Ravens price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$41.1K
90¢
$79
85¢
$115.9K
80¢
$46.0K
75¢
$3.4K
70¢
$8.4K
65¢
$5.4K
60¢
$9.5K
55¢
$3.9K
50¢
$229.3K
45¢
$46.6K
40¢
$132.3K
35¢
$1.4M
30¢
$745.5K
25¢
$503.4K
20¢
$29.3K
15¢
$18.0K
10¢
$24.7K
5¢
$265.5K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLRavens$14.1K@ 99.9¢0xacf8…e791🐋—about 20 hours ago
BUYRavens$30.9K@ 85.0¢
yoyoyoyoer0xb7ff…aa79
🐋—about 20 hours ago
SELLFalcons$74.5K@ 15.0¢
cosmicxbt0x9ee4…697b
🐋—about 20 hours ago
SELLFalcons$13.3K@ 17.0¢
milkteaboba0xf4c9…f88c
🐋—about 20 hours ago
BUYFalcons$24.0K@ 47.0¢0x6db5…e279🐋—about 20 hours ago
BUYFalcons$24.0K@ 47.0¢0x6db5…e279🐋—about 20 hours ago
BUYRavens$122.5K@ 50.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 20 hours ago
BUYFalcons$32.9K@ 62.0¢
mooseborzoii0x1f3a…895d
🐋—about 20 hours ago
BUYRavens$25.1K@ 38.0¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—about 20 hours ago
BUYRavens$41.4K@ 38.0¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—about 20 hours ago
BUYRavens$12.6K@ 9.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 21 hours ago
BUYFalcons$10.0K@ 92.0¢
popay1410x8f2f…c8b9
🐋—about 21 hours ago
BUYFalcons$210.9K@ 91.0¢
cosmicxbt0x9ee4…697b
🐋—about 21 hours ago
BUYFalcons$11.5K@ 75.5¢
yoyoyoyoer0xb7ff…aa79
🐋—about 21 hours ago
BUYFalcons$37.3K@ 71.0¢
yoyoyoyoer0xb7ff…aa79
🐋—about 21 hours ago
SELLFalcons$64.1K@ 66.9¢
cosmicxbt0x9ee4…697b
🐋—about 21 hours ago
SELLFalcons$141.7K@ 69.4¢
cosmicxbt0x9ee4…697b
🐋—about 21 hours ago
SELLRavens$18.7K@ 34.0¢
nuttypoo0xa1e6…e1c2
🐋—about 21 hours ago
BUYFalcons$125.9K@ 74.0¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—about 21 hours ago
BUYFalcons$29.8K@ 74.0¢
TAIWANNUMBERONE0xe015…6ffd
🐋—about 22 hours ago
BUYFalcons$123.9K@ 73.0¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—about 22 hours ago
BUYFalcons$74.3K@ 71.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 22 hours ago
BUYRavens$10.2K@ 30.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 22 hours ago
BUYRavens$65.0K@ 26.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 22 hours ago
BUYFalcons$38.1K@ 57.0¢
mooseborzoii0x1f3a…895d
🐋—about 22 hours ago
BUYRavens$22.8K@ 42.0¢
Qpkwks0x9ee8…89de
🐋—about 22 hours ago
BUYFalcons$82.2K@ 63.0¢
mooseborzoii0x1f3a…895d
🐋—about 23 hours ago
BUYRavens$33.7K@ 38.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 23 hours ago
BUYRavens$51.0K@ 38.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 23 hours ago
BUYFalcons$229.3K@ 67.0¢
milkteaboba0xf4c9…f88c
🐋—about 23 hours ago
BUYFalcons$24.3K@ 67.0¢
milkteaboba0xf4c9…f88c
🐋—about 23 hours ago
BUYFalcons$42.3K@ 67.0¢
milkteaboba0xf4c9…f88c
🐋—about 23 hours ago
BUYFalcons$144.8K@ 67.0¢
milkteaboba0xf4c9…f88c
🐋—about 23 hours ago
BUYRavens$23.5K@ 50.0¢
nuttypoo0xa1e6…e1c2
🐋—about 23 hours ago
BUYFalcons$11.8K@ 57.0¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—about 23 hours ago
BUYRavens$27.8K@ 43.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 23 hours ago
BUYFalcons$15.9K@ 52.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 23 hours ago
BUYRavens$18.6K@ 37.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 23 hours ago
BUYFalcons$126.7K@ 63.0¢
surfandturf0x9f2f…2ca8
🐋—about 23 hours ago
BUYFalcons$12.6K@ 63.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 24 hours ago
BUYFalcons$247.6K@ 63.0¢
surfandturf0x9f2f…2ca8
🐋—about 24 hours ago
BUYFalcons$37.8K@ 63.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 24 hours ago
BUYFalcons$492.9K@ 62.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—1 day ago
BUYRavens$10.0K@ 39.0¢0xf559…f462🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x2c33…0563Falcons$514.7K
BUY VWAP 60.2¢·6 fills
milkteabobaFalcons$440.6K
BUY VWAP 67.0¢·4 fills
surfandturfFalcons$377.4K
BUY VWAP 63.0¢·3 fills
ethanazFalcons$249.7K
BUY VWAP 73.5¢·2 fills
mooseborzoiiFalcons$212.4K
BUY VWAP 60.9¢·14 fills
cosmicxbtFalcons$210.9K
BUY VWAP 91.0¢·1 fill
0x2c33…0563Ravens$209.7K
BUY VWAP 31.3¢·5 fills
ferrariChampions2026Ravens$116.6K
BUY VWAP 37.0¢·5 fills
ferrariChampions2026Falcons$74.3K
BUY VWAP 71.0¢·1 fill
ethanazRavens$66.6K
BUY VWAP 38.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.