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Eagles vs. Jaguars

Sports→American FootballSettlement: JaguarsLiquidity: $1.2MOfficial 24h Vol: $4.4MEvent: Eagles vs. Jaguars
0.0¢
Eagles payout
100.0¢
Jaguars payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Jaguars · $40.6K net·39 wallets(8🐋)·$1.1M gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJaguars$183.5K@ 55¢·0x2c33…0563

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Jaguars. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-11 13:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Eagles" if Eagles win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Jaguars" if Jaguars win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL football game between Eagles and Jaguars, scheduled for October 11 at 9:30AM ET: This market will resolve to "Eagles" if Eagles win the game. This market will resolve to "Jaguars" if Jaguars win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x2c33…05637 linked markets · $674.4K gross
0xb4f9…c9a72 linked markets · $62.1K gross
curie2 linked markets · $53.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Jaguars@ 69.0¢1d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
POSITION CHANGESELL Eagles@ 18.0¢1d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
POSITION CHANGEBUY Eagles@ 52.0¢1d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -29.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
POSITION CHANGEBUY Eagles@ 54.0¢1d ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Eagles; negative values favor Jaguars. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJaguars · $230.3K
6hJaguars · $269.4K
24hJaguars · $189.2K

Eagles price VWAP

Volume-weighted Eagles price. Jaguars fills are converted to the complementary Eagles probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h37.5¢▼ below by 37.5pp
VWAP 7d37.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Eagles price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$67.6K
90¢
$5
85¢
$53
80¢
$1.9K
75¢
$2.3K
70¢
$21.8K
65¢
$0
60¢
$21.3K
55¢
$60.5K
50¢
$207.8K
45¢
$435.0K
40¢
$184.2K
35¢
$42.2K
30¢
$228.2K
25¢
$67.9K
20¢
$334.2K
15¢
$233.4K
10¢
$5.4K
5¢
$4.9K
0¢
← now
$72.5K

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLJaguars$18.2K@ 99.9¢
tennischamp0x8bfe…2d74
🐋—1 day ago
BUYEagles$49.3K@ 97.0¢
curie0xd1ed…d7cb
🐋—1 day ago
BUYJaguars$89.4K@ 67.0¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—1 day ago
SELLJaguars$14.9K@ 81.7¢
tennischamp0x8bfe…2d74
🐋—1 day ago
BUYJaguars$183.5K@ 55.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—1 day ago
BUYJaguars$11.2K@ 56.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—1 day ago
BUYJaguars$19.6K@ 59.0¢
yoyoyoyoer0xb7ff…aa79
🐋—1 day ago
BUYJaguars$10.1K@ 63.0¢
yoyoyoyoer0xb7ff…aa79
🐋—1 day ago
BUYJaguars$13.6K@ 68.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—1 day ago
BUYJaguars$18.3K@ 73.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—1 day ago
BUYJaguars$13.2K@ 73.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—1 day ago
BUYEagles$11.5K@ 57.0¢
Qpkwks0x9ee8…89de
🐋—1 day ago
BUYJaguars$10.4K@ 49.0¢
RISE10x9709…52ab
🐋—1 day ago
BUYEagles$18.4K@ 48.0¢
mentionmarket0xc3ac…b964
🐋—1 day ago
BUYJaguars$12.4K@ 54.0¢
yoyoyoyoer0xb7ff…aa79
🐋—1 day ago
BUYEagles$42.7K@ 53.9¢0x2c33…0563🐋—1 day ago
BUYJaguars$10.3K@ 49.0¢
wan1230xde7b…5f4b
🐋—1 day ago
BUYEagles$69.3K@ 46.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—1 day ago
BUYEagles$76.6K@ 40.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—1 day ago
BUYEagles$40.5K@ 48.0¢
sulumos0x9db8…2eff
🐋—1 day ago
BUYEagles$13.9K@ 48.0¢
mooseborzoii0x1f3a…895d
🐋—1 day ago
BUYEagles$23.4K@ 17.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—1 day ago
BUYJaguars$107.9K@ 83.0¢
18275757820x2798…0b7d
🐋—1 day ago
BUYJaguars$20.3K@ 67.8¢
one8tyfive0xcf6c…7e66
🐋—1 day ago
BUYJaguars$42.1K@ 68.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—1 day ago
BUYJaguars$12.8K@ 77.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—1 day ago
BUYJaguars$10.8K@ 77.0¢
elPolloLoco0xa2f1…2d22
🐋—1 day ago
BUYJaguars$14.2K@ 77.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—1 day ago
BUYJaguars$12.4K@ 78.0¢
tennischamp0x8bfe…2d74
🐋—1 day ago
BUYJaguars$15.6K@ 77.0¢
tennischamp0x8bfe…2d74
🐋—1 day ago
BUYEagles$142.0K@ 23.0¢
Kch-Temp0x9243…658e
🐋—1 day ago
BUYJaguars$37.2K@ 77.0¢0xb4f9…c9a7🐋—2 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x2c33…0563Jaguars$233.7K
BUY VWAP 57.1¢·4 fills
0x2c33…0563Eagles$231.3K
BUY VWAP 38.5¢·7 fills
Kch-TempEagles$143.4K
BUY VWAP 23.0¢·2 fills
1827575782Jaguars$107.9K
BUY VWAP 83.0¢·1 fill
ethanazJaguars$89.4K
BUY VWAP 67.0¢·1 fill
fkcvffcjtJaguars$64.1K
BUY VWAP 64.9¢·7 fills
curieEagles$51.3K
BUY VWAP 95.2¢·5 fills
yoyoyoyoerJaguars$46.3K
BUY VWAP 60.0¢·4 fills
sulumosEagles$43.2K
BUY VWAP 48.3¢·2 fills
ferrariChampions2026Jaguars$40.8K
BUY VWAP 62.5¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.