PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Winston-Salem Open: Arthur Fery vs Ignacio Buse

Sports→Settlement: Ignacio BuseLiquidity: $451.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.5MEvent: Winston-Salem Open: Arthur Fery vs Ignacio Buse
0.0¢
Arthur Fery payout
100.0¢
Ignacio Buse payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Ignacio Buse · $71.6K net·11 wallets(3🐋)·$204.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLIgnacio Buse$100.7K@ 100¢·NiNo999

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Ignacio Buse. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-05 20:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fery and Ignacio Buse in the Winston-Salem Open, originally scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fery' if Arthur Fery advances against Ignacio Buse. This market will resolve to 'Ignacio Buse' if Ignacio Buse advances against Arthur Fery. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Ignacio Buse@ 45.0¢6d ago
15m STALLED +2.0pp1h CONFIRMED +54.5pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Ignacio Buse@ 47.0¢6d ago
15m STALLED -3.0pp1h CONFIRMED +48.6pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Ignacio Buse@ 46.0¢7d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Arthur Fery@ 55.0¢7d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Arthur Fery; negative values favor Ignacio Buse. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hArthur Fery · $184.2K
6hArthur Fery · $54.5K
24hArthur Fery · $78.3K

Arthur Fery price VWAP

Volume-weighted Arthur Fery price. Ignacio Buse fills are converted to the complementary Arthur Fery probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h29.1¢▼ below by 29.1pp
VWAP 7d29.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Arthur Fery price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$147.7K
50¢
$169.6K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$9.2K
25¢
$72.0K
20¢
$7.9K
15¢
$7.6K
10¢
$37.4K
5¢
$11.8K
0¢
← now
$236.8K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLIgnacio Buse$84.6K@ 99.9¢
alexdave8880xa4fd…748b
🐋—6 days ago
SELLIgnacio Buse$100.7K@ 99.9¢
NiNo9990xcd65…ee96
🐋—6 days ago
BUYIgnacio Buse$26.4K@ 97.0¢
0b1fe0x9bb1…4dbe
🐋—6 days ago
BUYIgnacio Buse$16.3K@ 88.0¢
one8tyfive0xcf6c…7e66
🐋—6 days ago
BUYArthur Fery$23.3K@ 28.2¢0x5f65…2036🐋—6 days ago
BUYIgnacio Buse$15.1K@ 73.0¢
n0tTODAY0x89a6…429a
🐋—6 days ago
BUYIgnacio Buse$17.5K@ 49.8¢
0xwise0x0e60…3bad
🐋—6 days ago
BUYArthur Fery$10.2K@ 53.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—6 days ago
BUYIgnacio Buse$10.0K@ 49.0¢
MaoZeDonK0x19ae…395c
🐋—6 days ago
BUYIgnacio Buse$24.9K@ 47.8¢
NiNo9990xcd65…ee96
🐋—6 days ago
BUYIgnacio Buse$22.2K@ 46.3¢
NiNo9990xcd65…ee96
🐋—6 days ago
BUYIgnacio Buse$31.9K@ 45.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—7 days ago
BUYIgnacio Buse$45.0K@ 45.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—7 days ago
BUYArthur Fery$16.5K@ 55.0¢
AV23IUa0xdb85…152f
🐋—7 days ago
BUYArthur Fery$14.6K@ 54.7¢
Tantula0xd607…842a
🐋—7 days ago
BUYArthur Fery$15.6K@ 54.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—7 days ago
BUYArthur Fery$16.0K@ 55.4¢
Tantula0xd607…842a
🐋—7 days ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$946.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$695.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
44.5¢$628.6Kpriority57Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-05?
47.5¢$416.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$409.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-05?
46.5¢$387.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-05?
85.5¢$380.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x2c33…0563Ignacio Buse$76.9K
BUY VWAP 45.0¢·2 fills
NiNo999Ignacio Buse$47.1K
BUY VWAP 47.1¢·2 fills
0x1610…ae49Arthur Fery$46.1K
BUY VWAP 29.8¢·7 fills
TantulaArthur Fery$36.5K
BUY VWAP 55.1¢·3 fills
0b1feIgnacio Buse$26.4K
BUY VWAP 97.0¢·1 fill
0x5f65…2036Arthur Fery$23.3K
BUY VWAP 28.2¢·1 fill
alexdave888Ignacio Buse$20.6K
BUY VWAP 46.4¢·4 fills
0xwiseIgnacio Buse$17.5K
BUY VWAP 49.8¢·1 fill
TRCMIgnacio Buse$17.1K
BUY VWAP 81.9¢·2 fills
AV23IUaArthur Fery$16.5K
BUY VWAP 55.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.