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Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise Mertens

Sports→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $290.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.8MEvent: Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise Mertens
37.5¢
Diane Parry payout
62.5¢
Elise Mertens payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Diane Parry · $18.1K net·19 wallets(2🐋)·$336.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLDiane Parry$79.9K@ 100¢·alexdave888

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-05 23:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Diane Parry and Elise Mertens in the Monterrey Open, originally scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 7:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Diane Parry' if Diane Parry advances against Elise Mertens. This market will resolve to 'Elise Mertens' if Elise Mertens advances against Diane Parry. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 6d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 6d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASESELL Elise Mertens6d ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWSELL Elise Mertens@ 36.0¢6d ago
15m CONFIRMED +11.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASESELL Elise Mertens6d ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASESELL Elise Mertens6d ago
Outcome checks pending

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Diane Parry; negative values favor Elise Mertens. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hElise Mertens · $124.7K
6hElise Mertens · $89.6K
24hElise Mertens · $100.7K

Diane Parry price VWAP

Volume-weighted Diane Parry price. Elise Mertens fills are converted to the complementary Diane Parry probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current37.5¢
VWAP 24h58.3¢▼ below by 20.8pp
VWAP 7d58.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Diane Parry price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$148.7K
90¢
$22.6K
85¢
$11.2K
80¢
$6.6K
75¢
$18.3K
70¢
$18.3K
65¢
$43.4K
60¢
$82.9K
55¢
$8.8K
50¢
$25.7K
45¢
$20.5K
40¢
$110.3K
35¢
← now
$205.1K
30¢
$63.6K
25¢
$14.9K
20¢
$2.1K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLDiane Parry$11.5K@ 99.9¢0x6ca7…39db🐋—6 days ago
SELLDiane Parry$11.3K@ 99.9¢
MMzz3980x2978…b511
🐋—6 days ago
SELLDiane Parry$79.9K@ 99.9¢
alexdave8880xa4fd…748b
🐋—6 days ago
BUYDiane Parry$10.0K@ 98.7¢0x6ca7…39db🐋—6 days ago
BUYDiane Parry$10.0K@ 74.1¢
Ru3860x1d60…453d
🐋—6 days ago
SELLDiane Parry$31.8K@ 62.8¢0x5f65…2036🐋—6 days ago
SELLElise Mertens$11.1K@ 47.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—6 days ago
BUYDiane Parry$10.0K@ 39.5¢0x5f65…2036🐋—6 days ago
BUYDiane Parry$10.0K@ 40.4¢0x5f65…2036🐋—6 days ago
BUYElise Mertens$12.3K@ 68.3¢
007theone10x1f71…b2e4
🐋—6 days ago
SELLElise Mertens$28.2K@ 62.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—6 days ago
SELLElise Mertens$28.5K@ 61.5¢0x1610…ae49🐋—6 days ago
SELLElise Mertens$12.1K@ 47.2¢0x5f65…2036🐋—6 days ago
BUYDiane Parry$14.7K@ 41.9¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—6 days ago
BUYElise Mertens$27.9K@ 60.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—6 days ago
BUYElise Mertens$34.8K@ 60.1¢
NiNo9990xcd65…ee96
🐋—6 days ago
BUYElise Mertens$13.1K@ 63.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—6 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x1610…ae49Elise Mertens$122.2K
BUY VWAP 39.1¢·21 fills
NiNo999Elise Mertens$34.8K
BUY VWAP 60.1¢·1 fill
alexdave888Diane Parry$23.8K
BUY VWAP 40.0¢·4 fills
ferrariChampions2026Diane Parry$23.7K
BUY VWAP 43.1¢·3 fills
0x5f65…2036Diane Parry$20.0K
BUY VWAP 40.0¢·2 fills
007theone1Elise Mertens$18.3K
BUY VWAP 68.5¢·2 fills
FlaznorpDiane Parry$12.1K
BUY VWAP 87.6¢·3 fills
0x5f65…2036Elise Mertens$11.4K
BUY VWAP 33.2¢·2 fills
ferrariChampions2026Elise Mertens$10.7K
BUY VWAP 44.3¢·4 fills
Ru386Diane Parry$10.2K
BUY VWAP 72.9¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.