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US Open ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Jack Kennedy

● quote 2 min ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $142.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $349.9KEvent: US Open ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Jack Kennedy
100.0¢
Lloyd Harris
0.1¢
Jack Kennedy
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets94Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 62%💡 10 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:60 trades$171.4K tracked12% 🐋source coverage 49%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 62 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Lloyd Harris · $135.6K net·10 wallets(2🐋)·$144.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLloyd Harris$36.0K@ 85¢·beachboy4

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$146.6K
tracked
$171.4K

10 verified profitable wallets: Lloyd Harris · $135.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 62% · priority 0

Since latest liquidity absorption: +13.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 62 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 13.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-06 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Lloyd Harris and Jack Kennedy in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lloyd Harris' if Lloyd Harris advances against Jack Kennedy. This market will resolve to 'Jack Kennedy' if Jack Kennedy advances against Lloyd Harris. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Lloyd Harris@ 87.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +4.0pp1h CONFIRMED +8.1pp
ACCUMULATIONBUY Lloyd Harris@ 87.0¢3h ago
15m CONFIRMED +4.0pp1h CONFIRMED +8.1pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Lloyd Harris@ 87.0¢3h ago
15m CONFIRMED +4.0pp1h CONFIRMED +8.1pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Lloyd Harris; negative values favor Jack Kennedy. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLloyd Harris · $0
6hLloyd Harris · $146.6K
24hLloyd Harris · $151.6K

Lloyd Harris price VWAP

Volume-weighted Lloyd Harris price. Jack Kennedy fills are converted to the complementary Lloyd Harris probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h86.5¢▲ above by 13.5pp
VWAP 7d86.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Lloyd Harris price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$7.6K
90¢
$18.5K
85¢
$54.6K
80¢
$90.7K
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 80¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLloyd Harris$14.4K@ 84.5¢
beachboy40xc2e7…be51
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYLloyd Harris$15.7K@ 84.5¢
beachboy40xc2e7…be51
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYLloyd Harris$18.3K@ 84.5¢
beachboy40xc2e7…be51
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYLloyd Harris$36.0K@ 84.7¢
beachboy40xc2e7…be51
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYLloyd Harris$14.3K@ 91.8¢
beachboy40xc2e7…be51
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYLloyd Harris$10.3K@ 85.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYLloyd Harris$10.6K@ 85.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

beachboy4Lloyd Harris$106.4K
BUY VWAP 85.7¢·6 fills
ferrariChampions2026Lloyd Harris$20.9K
BUY VWAP 85.0¢·2 fills
FlaznorpLloyd Harris$12.3K
BUY VWAP 88.2¢·6 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.