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LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Playoffs

● quote 11s ago
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $1.4MOfficial 24h Vol: $879.6KEvent: LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
0.1¢
Dplus KIA
100.0¢
KT Rolster
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 84%💡 13 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:330 trades$309.3K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 35%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Dplus KIA · $27.5K net·13 wallets(1🐋)·$84.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDplus KIA$20.0K@ 57¢·BrotherObama

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Dplus KIA pressure: $5.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$5.9K
6h
+$37.7K
tracked
$309.3K

13 verified profitable wallets: Dplus KIA · $27.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 84% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Dplus KIA or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-30 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win the match against KT Rolster.

•This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win the match against Dplus KIA.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Dplus KIA and KT Rolster in the LCK Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win the match against KT Rolster. This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win the match against Dplus KIA. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 30, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xf201…527e4 linked markets · $97.5K gross
fkcvffcjt4 linked markets · $93.1K gross
2543217583 linked markets · $76.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Dplus KIA@ 78.0¢10h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: Dplus KIA UP 6.5pp · near-book depth $45 → $113 · 4s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Dplus KIA; negative values favor KT Rolster. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDplus KIA · $5.9K
6hDplus KIA · $37.7K
24hDplus KIA · $62.9K

Dplus KIA price VWAP

Volume-weighted Dplus KIA price. KT Rolster fills are converted to the complementary Dplus KIA probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h43.8¢▼ below by 43.7pp
VWAP 7d44.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Dplus KIA price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$104.0K
70¢
$24.7K
65¢
$410
60¢
$32
55¢
$43.4K
50¢
$1.2K
45¢
$5
40¢
$3.7K
35¢
$14
30¢
$0
25¢
$35.4K
20¢
$1.0K
15¢
$39.1K
10¢
$1.7K
5¢
$20.8K
0¢
← now
$44.7K

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYKT Rolster$14.8K@ 82.0¢0xf201…527e🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYDplus KIA$15.0K@ 27.6¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYDplus KIA$20.0K@ 57.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYDplus KIA$16.6K@ 77.0¢
TAIWANNUMBERONE0xe015…6ffd
🐋—about 10 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$1.4Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner
0.1¢$1.2Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)
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Games Total: O/U 3.5
0.1¢$59.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)
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Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A
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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

BrotherObamaDplus KIA$35.0K
BUY VWAP 39.1¢·2 fills
0xf201…527eKT Rolster$34.7K
BUY VWAP 80.9¢·4 fills
TAIWANNUMBERONEDplus KIA$16.6K
BUY VWAP 77.0¢·1 fill
vtcchampion52KT Rolster$16.4K
BUY VWAP 43.9¢·7 fills
0x9e3e…f882Dplus KIA$10.9K
BUY VWAP 74.4¢·6 fills
fkcvffcjtKT Rolster$10.8K
BUY VWAP 91.2¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.