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LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 1 hourLiquidity: $1.6MOfficial 24h Vol: $1.2MEvent: LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
0.1¢
Dplus KIA
100.0¢
KT Rolster
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection15Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets4Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 33 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:381 trades$473.2K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 9 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:KT Rolster · $5.8K net·33 wallets·$132.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLKT Rolster$16.3K@ 100¢·alexdinner

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Dplus KIA pressure: $71.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$71.0K
6h
−$12.8K
tracked
$473.2K

33 verified profitable wallets: KT Rolster · $5.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: -55.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Dplus KIA or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-30 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win Game 3 against KT Rolster.

•This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win Game 3 against Dplus KIA.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Dplus KIA and KT Rolster in the LCK Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win Game 3 against KT Rolster. This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win Game 3 against Dplus KIA. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 3 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 3. If Game 3 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 30, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xf201…527e4 linked markets · $97.5K gross
fkcvffcjt4 linked markets · $93.1K gross
2543217583 linked markets · $76.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY KT Rolster42m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY KT Rolster42m ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Dplus KIA@ 56.0¢51m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY KT Rolster@ 55.0¢54m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: KT Rolster UP 13.5pp · near-book depth $1.9K → $58.3K · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Dplus KIA; negative values favor KT Rolster. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDplus KIA · $71.0K
6hKT Rolster · $12.8K
24hKT Rolster · $12.8K

Dplus KIA price VWAP

Volume-weighted Dplus KIA price. KT Rolster fills are converted to the complementary Dplus KIA probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h32.3¢▼ below by 32.2pp
VWAP 7d32.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Dplus KIA price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$31.0K
55¢
$27.0K
50¢
$63.2K
45¢
$39.2K
40¢
$67.8K
35¢
$43.6K
30¢
$37.2K
25¢
$17.4K
20¢
$15.5K
15¢
$2.8K
10¢
$7.2K
5¢
$5.2K
0¢
← now
$116.1K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLKT Rolster$16.3K@ 99.9¢
alexdinner0x141a…d05a
🐋—28 minutes ago
BUYKT Rolster$11.9K@ 99.0¢
fkgggg2mouzfuria0x52ec…a6f3
🐋—37 minutes ago
BUYDplus KIA$10.0K@ 46.7¢
Jer-Predict0xd391…b109
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYKT Rolster$11.1K@ 45.0¢0xf201…527e🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYKT Rolster$14.2K@ 39.0¢
Wealthfreedom0010x80ba…2e78
🐋—about 1 hour ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$1.4Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
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Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A
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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

fkcvffcjtKT Rolster$23.8K
BUY VWAP 63.1¢·8 fills
ChonkyChocolateCakeKT Rolster$15.8K
BUY VWAP 56.1¢·3 fills
Wealthfreedom001KT Rolster$14.2K
BUY VWAP 39.0¢·1 fill
0xf201…527eKT Rolster$14.0K
BUY VWAP 46.7¢·3 fills
fkgggg2mouzfuriaKT Rolster$11.9K
BUY VWAP 99.0¢·1 fill
alexdave888Dplus KIA$11.3K
BUY VWAP 56.5¢·2 fills
alexdinnerKT Rolster$10.6K
BUY VWAP 64.8¢·4 fills
solo88888KT Rolster$10.1K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·3 fills
Jer-PredictDplus KIA$10.0K
BUY VWAP 46.7¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.