PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz

Sports→Settlement: Carlos AlcarazLiquidity: $315.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.1MEvent: US Open ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Carlos Alcaraz
0.0¢
Roman Safiullin payout
100.0¢
Carlos Alcaraz payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCarlos Alcaraz$63.8K@ 88¢·0x1610…ae49

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Carlos Alcaraz. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-06 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Roman Safiullin and Carlos Alcaraz in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Roman Safiullin' if Roman Safiullin advances against Carlos Alcaraz. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Roman Safiullin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 11d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY Carlos Alcaraz@ 96.0¢11d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Carlos Alcaraz@ 96.0¢11d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Carlos Alcaraz@ 90.0¢11d ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h CONFIRMED +5.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Carlos Alcaraz@ 82.0¢12d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Roman Safiullin; negative values favor Carlos Alcaraz. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRoman Safiullin · $26.8K
6hCarlos Alcaraz · $301.2K
24hCarlos Alcaraz · $371.0K

Roman Safiullin price VWAP

Volume-weighted Roman Safiullin price. Carlos Alcaraz fills are converted to the complementary Roman Safiullin probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h12.4¢▼ below by 12.4pp
VWAP 7d12.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Roman Safiullin price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$25
20¢
$136.9K
15¢
$98.1K
10¢
$108.0K
5¢
$78.4K
0¢
← now
$105.9K

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLCarlos Alcaraz$10.3K@ 99.9¢
madkkee0xd27c…c081
🐋—11 days ago
BUYCarlos Alcaraz$12.0K@ 95.3¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—11 days ago
BUYCarlos Alcaraz$32.3K@ 96.0¢
0F620xccd8…f4de
🐋—11 days ago
BUYCarlos Alcaraz$29.4K@ 95.0¢
0F620xccd8…f4de
🐋—11 days ago
BUYCarlos Alcaraz$21.4K@ 95.0¢
0F620xccd8…f4de
🐋—11 days ago
BUYCarlos Alcaraz$24.2K@ 95.0¢
0F620xccd8…f4de
🐋—11 days ago
BUYCarlos Alcaraz$13.6K@ 86.0¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—11 days ago
BUYCarlos Alcaraz$63.8K@ 88.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—11 days ago
BUYCarlos Alcaraz$25.2K@ 80.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—11 days ago
BUYCarlos Alcaraz$15.2K@ 84.0¢0x1b34…c6ef🐋—11 days ago
BUYCarlos Alcaraz$29.3K@ 81.0¢
Painfulvoid0xd696…8a49
🐋—12 days ago
BUYCarlos Alcaraz$18.3K@ 80.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—12 days ago
BUYCarlos Alcaraz$16.0K@ 80.0¢
chanello0xf3a6…71bd
🐋—12 days ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants
94.5¢$838.2Kpriority68Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs
66.5¢$626.6Kpriority71Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$423.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
59.5¢$395.9Kpriority57Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics
0.1¢$323.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$307.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.