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Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $86.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $237.9KEvent: Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics
52.0¢
Seattle Mariners
48.0¢
Athletics
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection18Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets44Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution28Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority44Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 73%💡 10 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:162 trades$74.9K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 31%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 9 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Seattle Mariners · $7.0K net·10 wallets·$15.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSeattle Mariners$18.2K@ 60¢·0x3dfb…abaf

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Athletics pressure: $13.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$13.7K
6h
+$16.5K
tracked
$74.9K

10 verified profitable wallets: Seattle Mariners · $7.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 73% · priority 44

Since latest large flow: +6.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Athletics or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-19 01:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Athletics, scheduled for September 11 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $14.0K gross
1winstreak12 linked markets · $1.3K gross
0x9b11…53752 linked markets · $122 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Seattle Mariners2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Seattle Mariners@ 47.0¢3h ago
15m CONFIRMED +10.0pp1h INVALIDATED -27.0pp
Latest book event: Seattle Mariners UP 2.5pp · near-book depth $6.7K → $431 · 22s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Seattle Mariners; negative values favor Athletics. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAthletics · $13.7K
6hSeattle Mariners · $16.5K
24hSeattle Mariners · $18.5K

Seattle Mariners price VWAP

Volume-weighted Seattle Mariners price. Athletics fills are converted to the complementary Seattle Mariners probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current52.0¢
VWAP 24h56.1¢▼ below by 4.1pp
VWAP 7d56.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Seattle Mariners price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$3.1K
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$23
60¢
$35.6K
55¢
$8.0K
50¢
← now
$14.4K
45¢
$9.6K
40¢
$2.2K
35¢
$0
30¢
$63
25¢
$191
20¢
$1.6K
15¢
$4
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSeattle Mariners$18.2K@ 60.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x3dfb…abafSeattle Mariners$19.3K
BUY VWAP 60.0¢·2 fills
kkookkooSeattle Mariners$12.1K
BUY VWAP 66.8¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.